Football · Denmark Superligaen · 02/08, 14:00

Prediction: Midtjylland vs AC Horsens

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.87Total
Midtjylland2.12
AC Horsens0.75
1X2
68% 20% 11%
Midtjylland Draw AC Horsens
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Midtjylland 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
DWLWDWWWLW
AC Horsens 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
WDWWDWLLLD
Head-to-head
Midtjylland 4–2–0 AC Horsens (6 last)
  • Midtjylland3-1AC Horsens
  • AC Horsens0-2Midtjylland
  • Midtjylland2-1AC Horsens
  • AC Horsens3-3Midtjylland
  • Midtjylland1-0AC Horsens
  • AC Horsens2-2Midtjylland
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Midtjylland 1558 · AC Horsens 1519
MidtjyllandDrawAC Horsens
Our model68%21%11%
Market69%20%12%
Estimated total (ours) 2.87 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Midtjylland: 4-2-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

MidtjyllandAC Horsens
Goals for / against (FT)2.3 / 1.11.4 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)1.2 / 0.60.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/40/20%40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.5 / 5.22.5 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.6 / 0.12.4 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Midtjylland 420 AC Horsens

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DateHomeScoreAway
14/05/23
Denmark Superligaen
Midtjylland3-1
HT 1-1
AC Horsens
23/04/23
Denmark Superligaen
AC Horsens0-2
HT 0-1
Midtjylland
16/10/22
Denmark Superligaen
Midtjylland2-1
HT 1-1
AC Horsens
12/08/22
Denmark Superligaen
AC Horsens3-3
HT 0-3
Midtjylland
14/02/21
Denmark Superligaen
Midtjylland1-0
HT 0-0
AC Horsens
04/10/20
Denmark Superligaen
AC Horsens2-2
HT 2-2
Midtjylland

Standings · Denmark Superligaen

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 FC Copenhagen 1100 323
1 Midtjylland 1100 323
3 Viborg 1100 103
4 AC Horsens 1010 111
4 AGF Aarhus 1010 111
4 Brondby 1010 111
4 FC Nordsjaelland 1010 111
8 Randers FC 0000 000
8 Silkeborg IF 0000 000
10 Lyngby 1001 230
10 Sonderjyske 1001 230
12 Odense BK 1001 010

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentMidtjyllandAC Horsens
FC Copenhagen 1-0 W 2-3 L
FC Nordsjaelland 0-0 D 1-1 D
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 0 L 0 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Midtjylland (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Midtjylland

DWLWDWWWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/07 Sonderjyske
Denmark Superligaen
2-2 3-2 43 W
23/07 Besiktas
UEFA Europa League Qualifying
0-1 0-1 21 L
17/07 Odense BK
Club Friendly List
3-1 4-1 63 W
11/07 Cardiff
Europe Friendlies
3-0 6-0 53 W
04/07 Silkeborg IF
Europe Friendlies
2-0 4-2 91 W
26/06 Malmo FF
Club Friendly List
0-2 2-2 80 D
20/06 Lillestrom
Europe Friendlies
0-0 1-0 62 W
17/05 Brondby
Denmark Superligaen
2-0 2-3 55 L
14/05 FC Copenhagen
Denmark Cup
0-0 1-0 45 W
10/05 FC Nordsjaelland
Denmark Superligaen
0-0 0-0 34 D

AC Horsens

WDWWDWLLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/07 FC Nordsjaelland
Denmark Superligaen
1-1 1-1 42 D
18/07 Vendsyssel FF
Europe Friendlies
0-1 0-1 54 L
15/07 AGF Aarhus
Europe Friendlies
0-0 0-2 84 L
11/07 FC Copenhagen
Europe Friendlies
1-3 2-3 32 L
04/07 Hobro IK
Europe Friendlies
1-0 2-0 21 W
27/06 FC Nordsjaelland
Europe Friendlies
1-0 1-1 40 D
31/05 Kolding IF
Denmark Division 1
0-0 1-0 94 W
25/05 Lyngby
Denmark Division 1
1-0 2-0 54 W
16/05 Hvidovre IF
Denmark Division 1
0-1 1-1 43 D
09/05 Hillerød
Denmark Division 1
1-0 4-0 50 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Midtjylland vs AC Horsens?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Midtjylland win (68%). Probabilities: Midtjylland 68%, draw 20%, AC Horsens 11%.

How many goals are expected in Midtjylland vs AC Horsens?

The model expects 2.87 goals (Midtjylland 2.12 · AC Horsens 0.75), with a 55% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Midtjylland vs AC Horsens?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.