Football · Denmark Superligaen · 02/08, 14:00
Prediction: FC Nordsjaelland vs Randers FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.83Total
FC Nordsjaelland1.77
Randers FC1.06
1X2
FC Nordsjaelland
Draw
Randers FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
FC Nordsjaelland
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Randers FC
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Nordsjaelland
2–1–3
Randers FC
(6 last)
- FC Nordsjaelland1-0Randers FC
- Randers FC3-0FC Nordsjaelland
- Randers FC3-2FC Nordsjaelland
- FC Nordsjaelland5-2Randers FC
- Randers FC4-0FC Nordsjaelland
- FC Nordsjaelland1-1Randers FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Nordsjaelland 1481 · Randers FC 1468
| FC Nordsjaelland | Draw | Randers FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 26% | 21% |
| Market | 53% | 25% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.83 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Randers FC: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Nordsjaelland | Randers FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.5 | 1.5 / 2.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 1 | 0.5 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 20/20/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.1 | 2.7 / 6.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.4 / 0 | 1.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Nordsjaelland 2–1–3 Randers FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10/25 Denmark Superligaen | FC Nordsjaelland | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Randers FC |
| 22/09/25 Denmark Superligaen | Randers FC | 3-0 HT 0-0 | FC Nordsjaelland |
| 02/05/25 Denmark Superligaen | Randers FC | 3-2 HT 2-1 | FC Nordsjaelland |
| 13/04/25 Denmark Superligaen | FC Nordsjaelland | 5-2 HT 3-1 | Randers FC |
| 28/10/24 Denmark Superligaen | Randers FC | 4-0 HT 2-0 | FC Nordsjaelland |
| 16/09/24 Denmark Superligaen | FC Nordsjaelland | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Randers FC |
Standings · Denmark Superligaen
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Copenhagen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 1 | Midtjylland | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Viborg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | AC Horsens | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 4 | AGF Aarhus | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 4 | Brondby | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 4 | FC Nordsjaelland | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | Randers FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Silkeborg IF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Lyngby | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 | Sonderjyske | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 | Odense BK | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Nordsjaelland
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | AC Horsens Denmark Superligaen |
1-1 | 1-1 | 13 | 2 | D |
| 23/07 | GAIS UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 17/07 | Jagiellonia Bialystok Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 17/07 | Sparta Prague Europe Friendlies |
3-1 | 5-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 10/07 | Gornik Zabrze Club Friendly List |
0-2 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 10/07 | Hradec Kralove Europe Friendlies |
0-3 | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 04/07 | Brondby Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 27/06 | AC Horsens Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 17/05 | Sonderjyske Denmark Superligaen |
3-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | Midtjylland Denmark Superligaen |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | D |
Randers FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Notts County Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 08/07 | AaB Europe Friendlies |
2-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 03/07 | Vejle Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-2 | 13 | 3 | D |
| 26/06 | Sonderjyske Europe Friendlies |
1-2 | 2-4 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | FC Copenhagen Denmark Superligaen |
0-3 | 0-5 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 11/05 | Odense BK Denmark Superligaen |
0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 03/05 | Vejle Denmark Superligaen |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Silkeborg IF Denmark Superligaen |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 23/04 | FC Fredericia Denmark Superligaen |
1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 19/04 | Odense BK Denmark Superligaen |
0-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 0 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Nordsjaelland vs Randers FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Nordsjaelland win (53%). Probabilities: FC Nordsjaelland 53%, draw 25%, Randers FC 22%.
How many goals are expected in FC Nordsjaelland vs Randers FC?
The model expects 2.83 goals (FC Nordsjaelland 1.77 · Randers FC 1.06), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Nordsjaelland vs Randers FC?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.