Football · Denmark Superligaen · 27/07, 19:00

Prediction: Randers FC vs Silkeborg IF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.06Total

Randers FC1.91

Silkeborg IF1.15

1X2

54% 25% 22%

Randers FC Draw Silkeborg IF

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Randers FC 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

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Silkeborg IF 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Randers FC 1–1–4 Silkeborg IF (6 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Randers FC 1468 · Silkeborg IF 1520

	Randers FC	Draw	Silkeborg IF
Our model	54%	24%	22%
Market	54%	25%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 3.06 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Silkeborg IF (rating 1468 vs 1520).
H2H favours Silkeborg IF: 4-1-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Randers FC	Silkeborg IF
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 2.3	2 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1.1	0.8 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 6.6	2.2 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.8 / 0.2	1.9 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.73

X3.75

24.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.95

2 (+0.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 1.1 · xG: 3.85

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.73	Pinn 1.78
X	3.75 → 3.75	Pinn 3.92 ★
2	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.6% Pinnacle margin 5.3%

Time*	1	X	2
00:05 +10’	1.73	3.75	4.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
00:15	1.78	3.92	4.23

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Randers FC 1–1–4 Silkeborg IF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Denmark Superligaen	Silkeborg IF	2-0 HT 1-0	Randers FC
22/03/26 Denmark Superligaen	Randers FC	0-3 HT 0-2	Silkeborg IF
30/11/25 Denmark Superligaen	Silkeborg IF	0-0 HT 0-0	Randers FC
03/08/25 Denmark Superligaen	Randers FC	1-0 HT 1-0	Silkeborg IF
01/06/25 Denmark Superligaen	Randers FC	1-3 HT 1-2	Silkeborg IF
10/11/24 Denmark Superligaen	Silkeborg IF	1-0 HT 0-0	Randers FC

Standings · Denmark Superligaen

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	AC Horsens	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	AGF Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Brondby	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Lyngby	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Odense BK	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Randers FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Silkeborg IF	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sonderjyske	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Viborg	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Randers FC	Silkeborg IF
AaB	2-2 D	2-1 W
Vejle	2-2 D	2-1 W
FC Copenhagen	0-5 L	0-4 L
Odense BK	2-2 D	3-2 W
FC Fredericia	2-2 D	1-4 L
Record vs common	0 W 4 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Silkeborg IF (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Randers FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/07	Notts County Europe Friendlies	1-0	3-1	6	1	W
08/07	AaB Europe Friendlies	2-1	2-2	4	2	D
03/07	Vejle Europe Friendlies	0-0	2-2	13	3	D
26/06	Sonderjyske Europe Friendlies	1-2	2-4	8	2	L
17/05	FC Copenhagen Denmark Superligaen	0-3	0-5	5	1	L
11/05	Odense BK Denmark Superligaen	0-1	2-2	8	2	D
03/05	Vejle Denmark Superligaen	0-0	1-0	3	3	W
26/04	Silkeborg IF Denmark Superligaen	0-1	0-2	5	3	L
23/04	FC Fredericia Denmark Superligaen	1-2	2-2	6	3	D
19/04	Odense BK Denmark Superligaen	0-1	1-3	8	0	L

Silkeborg IF

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/07	AaB Europe Friendlies	2-0	2-1	1	3	W
11/07	Thisted FC Europe Friendlies	2-0	6-0	7	1	W
08/07	Aarhus Fremad Europe Friendlies	0-1	0-1	2	2	L
04/07	Midtjylland Europe Friendlies	0-2	2-4	4	1	L
17/05	FC Fredericia Denmark Superligaen	0-3	1-4	6	2	L
10/05	FC Copenhagen Denmark Superligaen	0-2	0-4	2	1	L
03/05	Odense BK Denmark Superligaen	1-1	3-2	3	1	W
26/04	Randers FC Denmark Superligaen	1-0	2-0	3	3	W
22/04	Vejle Denmark Superligaen	0-0	2-1	4	6	W
19/04	FC Fredericia Denmark Superligaen	2-0	2-2	5	1	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Randers FC vs Silkeborg IF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Randers FC win (54%). Probabilities: Randers FC 54%, draw 25%, Silkeborg IF 22%.

How many goals are expected in Randers FC vs Silkeborg IF?

The model expects 3.06 goals (Randers FC 1.91 · Silkeborg IF 1.15), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Randers FC vs Silkeborg IF?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.