Football · Denmark Superligaen · 09/08, 18:00

Prediction: AC Horsens vs Brondby

Team pages: AC Horsens · Brondby

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.76Total
AC Horsens0.99
Brondby1.77
1X2
20% 25% 55%
AC Horsens Draw Brondby
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
AC Horsens 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
DWWDWLLLDL
Brondby 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
DLWDWDWLDW
Head-to-head
AC Horsens 2–4 Brondby (6 last)
  • Brondby5-2AC Horsens
  • AC Horsens0-2Brondby
  • AC Horsens1-2Brondby
  • Brondby2-1AC Horsens
  • AC Horsens3-2Brondby
  • Brondby1-2AC Horsens
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AC Horsens 1501 · Brondby 1522
AC HorsensDrawBrondby
Our model20%26%55%
Market20%24%55%
Estimated total (ours) 2.76 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Brondby: 4-0-2.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

AC HorsensBrondby
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 1.12.3 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.80.8 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/30/40%20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.5 / 4.72 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.9 / 04.2 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · AC Horsens 204 Brondby

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DateHomeScoreAway
19/02/23
Denmark Superligaen
Brondby5-2
HT 1-2
AC Horsens
04/09/22
Denmark Superligaen
AC Horsens0-2
HT 0-0
Brondby
20/12/20
Denmark Superligaen
AC Horsens1-2
HT 0-1
Brondby
27/09/20
Denmark Superligaen
Brondby2-1
HT 2-0
AC Horsens
07/06/20
Denmark Superligaen
AC Horsens3-2
HT 0-1
Brondby
04/08/19
Denmark Superligaen
Brondby1-2
HT 1-1
AC Horsens

Standings · Denmark Superligaen

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 FC Copenhagen 1100 323
1 Midtjylland 1100 323
3 Viborg 1100 103
4 AGF Aarhus 2020 332
5 AC Horsens 1010 111
5 Brondby 1010 111
5 FC Nordsjaelland 1010 111
5 Randers FC 1010 111
5 Silkeborg IF 1010 111
10 Lyngby 2011 451
11 Sonderjyske 1001 230
12 Odense BK 1001 010

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAC HorsensBrondby
Midtjylland 1-2 L 3-2 W
FC Nordsjaelland 1-1 D 3-3 D
AGF Aarhus 0-2 L 1-1 D
FC Copenhagen 2-3 L 1-1 D
Hvidovre IF 1-1 D 8-1 W
Record vs common 0 W 2 D 3 L 2 W 3 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Brondby (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AC Horsens

DWWDWLLLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
02/08 Midtjylland
Denmark Superligaen
0-2 1-2 35 L
26/07 FC Nordsjaelland
Denmark Superligaen
1-1 1-1 42 D
18/07 Vendsyssel FF
Europe Friendlies
0-1 0-1 54 L
15/07 AGF Aarhus
Europe Friendlies
0-0 0-2 84 L
11/07 FC Copenhagen
Europe Friendlies
1-3 2-3 32 L
04/07 Hobro IK
Europe Friendlies
1-0 2-0 21 W
27/06 FC Nordsjaelland
Europe Friendlies
1-0 1-1 40 D
31/05 Kolding IF
Denmark Division 1
0-0 1-0 94 W
25/05 Lyngby
Denmark Division 1
1-0 2-0 54 W
16/05 Hvidovre IF
Denmark Division 1
0-1 1-1 43 D

Brondby

DLWDWDWLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
02/08 Viborg
Denmark Superligaen
0-0 1-0 85 W
25/07 AGF Aarhus
Denmark Superligaen
0-0 1-1 66 D
18/07 Hibernian
Europe Friendlies
1-2 1-2 41 L
11/07 Odense BK
Europe Friendlies
2-0 4-0 74 W
04/07 FC Nordsjaelland
Europe Friendlies
1-1 3-3 01 D
28/06 Hvidovre IF
Europe Friendlies
4-1 8-1 50 W
21/05 FC Copenhagen
Denmark Superligaen
0-0 1-1 811 D
17/05 Midtjylland
Denmark Superligaen
0-2 3-2 15 W
10/05 AGF Aarhus
Denmark Superligaen
0-2 0-2 56 L
01/05 FC Nordsjaelland
Denmark Superligaen
0-0 1-1 55 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AC Horsens vs Brondby?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Brondby win (55%). Probabilities: AC Horsens 20%, draw 25%, Brondby 55%.

How many goals are expected in AC Horsens vs Brondby?

The model expects 2.76 goals (AC Horsens 0.99 · Brondby 1.77), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in AC Horsens vs Brondby?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.