Football · Denmark Superligaen · 16/08, 14:00

Prediction: Odense BK vs AC Horsens

Team pages: Odense BK · AC Horsens

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.56Total

Odense BK1.66

AC Horsens0.9

1X2

55% 25% 20%

Odense BK Draw AC Horsens

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Odense BK 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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AC Horsens 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Odense BK 3–3–0 AC Horsens (6 last)

AC Horsens2-2Odense BK
Odense BK1-0AC Horsens
Odense BK3-2AC Horsens
AC Horsens2-2Odense BK
Odense BK2-1AC Horsens
AC Horsens2-2Odense BK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Odense BK 1470 · AC Horsens 1476

	Odense BK	Draw	AC Horsens
Our model	54%	27%	19%
Market	56%	24%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 2.56 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Odense BK: 3-3-0.
Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Odense BK	AC Horsens
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.6	1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.7	0.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.5	2.6 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.2 / 0.2	3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.65

X3.80

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.85

2 (+0.75)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.82

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:43

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.65 → 1.65	Bet365 1.65
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
00:42 +1’	1.65	3.80	4.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Odense BK 3–3–0 AC Horsens

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/25 Denmark Division 1	AC Horsens	2-2 HT 1-0	Odense BK
30/03/25 Denmark Division 1	Odense BK	1-0 HT 0-0	AC Horsens
09/11/24 Denmark Division 1	Odense BK	3-2 HT 2-1	AC Horsens
14/09/24 Denmark Division 1	AC Horsens	2-2 HT 1-1	Odense BK
26/05/23 Denmark Superligaen	Odense BK	2-1 HT 0-0	AC Horsens
28/04/23 Denmark Superligaen	AC Horsens	2-2 HT 1-1	Odense BK

Standings · Denmark Superligaen

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Brondby	3	2	1	0	4	1	7
2	FC Copenhagen	2	2	0	0	6	3	6
3	Midtjylland	2	2	0	0	5	3	6
4	Randers FC	3	1	1	1	3	2	4
5	FC Nordsjaelland	2	1	1	0	2	1	4
6	Viborg	3	1	1	1	1	1	4
7	Odense BK	2	1	0	1	1	1	3
8	AGF Aarhus	2	0	2	0	3	3	2
9	Silkeborg IF	2	0	1	1	2	4	1
9	Sonderjyske	3	0	1	2	2	4	1
11	Lyngby	3	0	1	2	4	7	1
12	AC Horsens	3	0	1	2	2	5	1

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Odense BK	AC Horsens
Midtjylland	1-4 L	1-2 L
Brondby	0-4 L	0-2 L
Kolding IF	2-1 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: AC Horsens (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Odense BK

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/08	Sonderjyske Denmark Superligaen	0-0	1-0	7	2	W
24/07	Viborg Denmark Superligaen	0-0	0-1	10	3	L
17/07	Midtjylland Club Friendly List	1-3	1-4	5	3	L
11/07	Brondby Europe Friendlies	0-2	0-4	0	4	L
04/07	Hillerød Europe Friendlies	1-0	2-0	5	2	W
29/06	Kolding IF Europe Friendlies	1-0	2-1	6	1	W
17/05	Vejle Denmark Superligaen	0-1	0-1	8	3	L
11/05	Randers FC Denmark Superligaen	1-0	2-2	3	2	D
03/05	Silkeborg IF Denmark Superligaen	1-1	2-3	8	1	L
26/04	FC Fredericia Denmark Superligaen	2-0	2-0	3	3	W

AC Horsens

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Brondby Denmark Superligaen	0-1	0-2	3	4	L
02/08	Midtjylland Denmark Superligaen	0-2	1-2	3	5	L
26/07	FC Nordsjaelland Denmark Superligaen	1-1	1-1	4	2	D
18/07	Vendsyssel FF Europe Friendlies	0-1	0-1	5	4	L
15/07	AGF Aarhus Europe Friendlies	0-0	0-2	8	4	L
11/07	FC Copenhagen Europe Friendlies	1-3	2-3	3	2	L
04/07	Hobro IK Europe Friendlies	1-0	2-0	2	1	W
27/06	FC Nordsjaelland Europe Friendlies	1-0	1-1	4	0	D
31/05	Kolding IF Denmark Division 1	0-0	1-0	9	4	W
25/05	Lyngby Denmark Division 1	1-0	2-0	5	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Odense BK vs AC Horsens?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Odense BK win (55%). Probabilities: Odense BK 55%, draw 25%, AC Horsens 20%.

How many goals are expected in Odense BK vs AC Horsens?

The model expects 2.56 goals (Odense BK 1.66 · AC Horsens 0.9), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Odense BK vs AC Horsens?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.