Football · Denmark Superligaen · 16/08, 18:00
Prediction: Randers FC vs FC Copenhagen
Team pages: Randers FC · FC Copenhagen
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.48Total
Randers FC1.38
FC Copenhagen2.09
1X2
Randers FC
Draw
FC Copenhagen
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Randers FC
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
FC Copenhagen
7-3-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Randers FC
1–5
FC Copenhagen
(6 last)
- FC Copenhagen5-0Randers FC
- Randers FC1-2FC Copenhagen
- FC Copenhagen1-2Randers FC
- Randers FC1-5FC Copenhagen
- Randers FC0-4FC Copenhagen
- FC Copenhagen1-0Randers FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Randers FC 1481 · FC Copenhagen 1627
| Randers FC | Draw | FC Copenhagen | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 24% | 23% | 53% |
| Market | 23% | 25% | 52% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.48 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Copenhagen (rating 1481 vs 1627).
- H2H favours FC Copenhagen: 5-0-1.
- High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Randers FC | FC Copenhagen | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.8 | 2.6 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.8 | 1.4 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.9 | 2.3 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.8 / 0.2 | 3.5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Randers FC 1–0–5 FC Copenhagen
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 Denmark Superligaen | FC Copenhagen | 5-0 HT 3-0 | Randers FC |
| 12/04/26 Denmark Superligaen | Randers FC | 1-2 HT 0-0 | FC Copenhagen |
| 01/03/26 Denmark Superligaen | FC Copenhagen | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Randers FC |
| 31/08/25 Denmark Superligaen | Randers FC | 1-5 HT 0-4 | FC Copenhagen |
| 18/05/25 Denmark Superligaen | Randers FC | 0-4 HT 0-2 | FC Copenhagen |
| 31/03/25 Denmark Superligaen | FC Copenhagen | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Randers FC |
Standings · Denmark Superligaen
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brondby | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 2 | FC Copenhagen | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Midtjylland | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Randers FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | FC Nordsjaelland | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Viborg | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Odense BK | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | AGF Aarhus | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| 9 | Silkeborg IF | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 9 | Sonderjyske | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 11 | Lyngby | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 1 |
| 12 | AC Horsens | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Randers FC | FC Copenhagen |
|---|---|---|
| Lyngby | 2-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Silkeborg IF | 1-1 D | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 0 L | 2 W 0 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Randers FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Lyngby Denmark Superligaen |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 02/08 | FC Nordsjaelland Denmark Superligaen |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 27/07 | Silkeborg IF Denmark Superligaen |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 14/07 | Notts County Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 08/07 | AaB Europe Friendlies |
2-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 03/07 | Vejle Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-2 | 13 | 3 | D |
| 26/06 | Sonderjyske Europe Friendlies |
1-2 | 2-4 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | FC Copenhagen Denmark Superligaen |
0-3 | 0-5 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 11/05 | Odense BK Denmark Superligaen |
0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 03/05 | Vejle Denmark Superligaen |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
FC Copenhagen
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Debreceni VSC UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 02/08 | Silkeborg IF Denmark Superligaen |
2-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 29/07 | Polissya Zhytomyr UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 26/07 | Lyngby Denmark Superligaen |
1-2 | 3-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 23/07 | Polissya Zhytomyr UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
1-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 16/07 | Viborg Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 11/07 | AC Horsens Europe Friendlies |
3-1 | 3-2 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 07/07 | Viktoria Plzen Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 27/06 | Mjällby AIF Europe Friendlies |
3-2 | 5-3 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 21/05 | Brondby Denmark Superligaen |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 11 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Randers FC vs FC Copenhagen?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Copenhagen win (52%). Probabilities: Randers FC 24%, draw 24%, FC Copenhagen 52%.
How many goals are expected in Randers FC vs FC Copenhagen?
The model expects 3.48 goals (Randers FC 1.38 · FC Copenhagen 2.09), with a 57% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Randers FC vs FC Copenhagen?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.