Football · Denmark Superligaen · 17/08, 19:00

Prediction: Brondby vs Sonderjyske

Team pages: Brondby · Sonderjyske

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.07Total
Brondby2.15
Sonderjyske0.92
1X2
64% 22% 14%
Brondby Draw Sonderjyske
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Brondby 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
LWDWDWLDWW
Sonderjyske 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
WLWLWDWLLD
Head-to-head
Brondby 2–2–2 Sonderjyske (6 last)
  • Sonderjyske3-0Brondby
  • Brondby6-0Sonderjyske
  • Brondby0-0Sonderjyske
  • Sonderjyske2-0Brondby
  • Sonderjyske2-2Brondby
  • Brondby2-0Sonderjyske
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Brondby 1539 · Sonderjyske 1491
BrondbyDrawSonderjyske
Our model64%21%14%
Market64%22%14%
Estimated total (ours) 3.07 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Brondby (rating 1539 vs 1491).
  • Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

BrondbySonderjyske
Goals for / against (FT)2.4 / 1.21.4 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.80.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/40/30%20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.2 / 52.1 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.2 / 0.12.1 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Brondby 222 Sonderjyske

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DateHomeScoreAway
26/04/26
Denmark Superligaen
Sonderjyske3-0
HT 2-0
Brondby
17/04/26
Denmark Superligaen
Brondby6-0
HT 3-0
Sonderjyske
23/02/26
Denmark Superligaen
Brondby0-0
HT 0-0
Sonderjyske
24/08/25
Denmark Superligaen
Sonderjyske2-0
HT 0-0
Brondby
24/11/24
Denmark Superligaen
Sonderjyske2-2
HT 0-1
Brondby
15/09/24
Denmark Superligaen
Brondby2-0
HT 1-0
Sonderjyske

Standings · Denmark Superligaen

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Brondby 3210 417
2 FC Copenhagen 2200 636
3 Midtjylland 2200 536
4 Randers FC 3111 324
5 FC Nordsjaelland 2110 214
6 Viborg 3111 114
7 Silkeborg IF 3111 344
8 Odense BK 3102 123
9 AGF Aarhus 2020 332
10 Sonderjyske 3012 241
11 Lyngby 3012 471
12 AC Horsens 3012 251

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentBrondbySonderjyske
Viborg 1-0 W 0-0 D
AGF Aarhus 1-1 D 1-2 L
Odense BK 4-0 W 0-1 L
FC Nordsjaelland 3-3 D 1-4 L
Midtjylland 3-2 W 2-3 L
Record vs common 3 W 2 D 0 L 0 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Brondby (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Brondby

LWDWDWLDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/08 AC Horsens
Denmark Superligaen
1-0 2-0 64 W
02/08 Viborg
Denmark Superligaen
0-0 1-0 85 W
25/07 AGF Aarhus
Denmark Superligaen
0-0 1-1 66 D
18/07 Hibernian
Europe Friendlies
1-2 1-2 41 L
11/07 Odense BK
Europe Friendlies
2-0 4-0 74 W
04/07 FC Nordsjaelland
Europe Friendlies
1-1 3-3 01 D
28/06 Hvidovre IF
Europe Friendlies
4-1 8-1 50 W
21/05 FC Copenhagen
Denmark Superligaen
0-0 1-1 811 D
17/05 Midtjylland
Denmark Superligaen
0-2 3-2 15 W
10/05 AGF Aarhus
Denmark Superligaen
0-2 0-2 56 L

Sonderjyske

WLWLWDWLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/08 Viborg
Denmark Superligaen
0-0 0-0 41 D
03/08 Odense BK
Denmark Superligaen
0-0 0-1 92 L
26/07 Midtjylland
Denmark Superligaen
2-2 2-3 53 L
17/07 Kolding IF
Europe Friendlies
0-0 1-0 W
03/07 Viking FK
Europe Friendlies
1-1 1-1 D
26/06 Randers FC
Europe Friendlies
2-1 4-2 22 W
17/05 FC Nordsjaelland
Denmark Superligaen
0-3 1-4 33 L
08/05 Viborg
Denmark Superligaen
0-0 1-0 01 W
03/05 AGF Aarhus
Denmark Superligaen
0-0 1-2 52 L
26/04 Brondby
Denmark Superligaen
2-0 3-0 43 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Brondby vs Sonderjyske?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Brondby win (64%). Probabilities: Brondby 64%, draw 22%, Sonderjyske 14%.

How many goals are expected in Brondby vs Sonderjyske?

The model expects 3.07 goals (Brondby 2.15 · Sonderjyske 0.92), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Brondby vs Sonderjyske?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.