Football · Denmark Superligaen · 23/08, 12:00

Prediction: Sonderjyske vs FC Nordsjaelland

Team pages: Sonderjyske · FC Nordsjaelland

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.75Total
Sonderjyske1.03
FC Nordsjaelland1.73
1X2
22% 25% 53%
Sonderjyske Draw FC Nordsjaelland
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Sonderjyske 2-1-7 (W-D-L)
LLWLWLLLDL
FC Nordsjaelland 4-5-1 (W-D-L)
DWDLDDWDWW
Head-to-head
Sonderjyske 1–5 FC Nordsjaelland (6 last)
  • Sonderjyske1-4FC Nordsjaelland
  • FC Nordsjaelland2-0Sonderjyske
  • FC Nordsjaelland2-1Sonderjyske
  • Sonderjyske3-2FC Nordsjaelland
  • FC Nordsjaelland3-2Sonderjyske
  • Sonderjyske1-4FC Nordsjaelland
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sonderjyske 1454 · FC Nordsjaelland 1588
SonderjyskeDrawFC Nordsjaelland
Our model21%26%53%
Market22%24%54%
Estimated total (ours) 2.75 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Nordsjaelland (rating 1454 vs 1588).
  • H2H favours FC Nordsjaelland: 5-0-1.
  • High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

SonderjyskeFC Nordsjaelland
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 2.11.2 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 1.20.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/60/30%20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 3.93.5 / 6.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3 / 03.8 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sonderjyske 105 FC Nordsjaelland

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
17/05/26
Denmark Superligaen
Sonderjyske1-4
HT 0-3
FC Nordsjaelland
22/03/26
Denmark Superligaen
FC Nordsjaelland2-0
HT 0-0
Sonderjyske
08/02/26
Denmark Superligaen
FC Nordsjaelland2-1
HT 0-0
Sonderjyske
03/08/25
Denmark Superligaen
Sonderjyske3-2
HT 1-1
FC Nordsjaelland
23/02/25
Denmark Superligaen
FC Nordsjaelland3-2
HT 2-1
Sonderjyske
06/10/24
Denmark Superligaen
Sonderjyske1-4
HT 1-2
FC Nordsjaelland

Standings · Denmark Superligaen

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Brondby 4310 7310
2 FC Copenhagen 3300 1039
3 Midtjylland 3210 647
4 FC Nordsjaelland 3210 317
5 Viborg 4211 327
6 AC Horsens 4112 464
7 Silkeborg IF 4112 354
8 Randers FC 4112 364
9 Odense BK 4103 243
10 AGF Aarhus 3021 452
11 Lyngby 4022 582
12 Sonderjyske 4013 471

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSonderjyskeFC Nordsjaelland
Brondby 2-3 L 1-1 D
Viborg 0-0 D 0-1 L
Midtjylland 2-3 L 0-0 D
AGF Aarhus 1-2 L 1-1 D
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 3 L 0 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FC Nordsjaelland (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sonderjyske

LLWLWLLLDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/08 Brondby
Denmark Superligaen
0-3 2-3 16 L
07/08 Viborg
Denmark Superligaen
0-0 0-0 41 D
03/08 Odense BK
Denmark Superligaen
0-0 0-1 92 L
26/07 Midtjylland
Denmark Superligaen
2-2 2-3 53 L
17/05 FC Nordsjaelland
Denmark Superligaen
0-3 1-4 33 L
08/05 Viborg
Denmark Superligaen
0-0 1-0 01 W
03/05 AGF Aarhus
Denmark Superligaen
0-0 1-2 52 L
26/04 Brondby
Denmark Superligaen
2-0 3-0 43 W
23/04 Midtjylland
Denmark Superligaen
1-1 1-2 35 L
17/04 Brondby
Denmark Superligaen
0-3 0-6 54 L

FC Nordsjaelland

DWDLDDWDWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/08 Silkeborg IF
Denmark Superligaen
0-0 1-0 84 W
02/08 Randers FC
Denmark Superligaen
0-0 1-0 114 W
26/07 AC Horsens
Denmark Superligaen
1-1 1-1 132 D
17/05 Sonderjyske
Denmark Superligaen
3-0 4-1 43 W
10/05 Midtjylland
Denmark Superligaen
0-0 0-0 94 D
01/05 Brondby
Denmark Superligaen
0-0 1-1 25 D
26/04 Viborg
Denmark Superligaen
0-1 0-1 54 L
23/04 AGF Aarhus
Denmark Superligaen
0-1 1-1 72 D
19/04 Viborg
Denmark Superligaen
1-1 2-1 65 W
10/04 AGF Aarhus
Denmark Superligaen
1-0 1-1 16 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sonderjyske vs FC Nordsjaelland?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Nordsjaelland win (53%). Probabilities: Sonderjyske 22%, draw 25%, FC Nordsjaelland 53%.

How many goals are expected in Sonderjyske vs FC Nordsjaelland?

The model expects 2.75 goals (Sonderjyske 1.03 · FC Nordsjaelland 1.73), with a 58% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Sonderjyske vs FC Nordsjaelland?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.