Football · Denmark Superligaen · 31/08, 19:00

Prediction: FC Copenhagen vs Sonderjyske

Team pages: FC Copenhagen · Sonderjyske

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.39Total
FC Copenhagen2.38
Sonderjyske1.01
1X2
67% 20% 13%
FC Copenhagen Draw Sonderjyske
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
2-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
FC Copenhagen 7-2-1 (W-D-L)
WWDWWDWWWL
Sonderjyske 2-1-7 (W-D-L)
LWLWLLLDLL
Head-to-head
FC Copenhagen 4–1–1 Sonderjyske (6 last)
  • FC Copenhagen0-2Sonderjyske
  • Sonderjyske1-2FC Copenhagen
  • FC Copenhagen1-1Sonderjyske
  • Sonderjyske1-2FC Copenhagen
  • Sonderjyske0-2FC Copenhagen
  • FC Copenhagen3-2Sonderjyske
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Copenhagen 1625 · Sonderjyske 1466
FC CopenhagenDrawSonderjyske
Our model67%19%14%
Market67%20%13%
Estimated total (ours) 3.39 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Copenhagen (rating 1625 vs 1466).
  • H2H favours FC Copenhagen: 4-1-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FC CopenhagenSonderjyske
Goals for / against (FT)2.8 / 1.21.1 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)1.6 / 0.80.5 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)60/20/20%10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)3.4 / 5.91.9 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3 / 0.13 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Copenhagen 411 Sonderjyske

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DateHomeScoreAway
07/12/25
Denmark Superligaen
FC Copenhagen0-2
HT 0-2
Sonderjyske
27/09/25
Denmark Superligaen
Sonderjyske1-2
HT 0-1
FC Copenhagen
09/03/25
Denmark Superligaen
FC Copenhagen1-1
HT 1-1
Sonderjyske
30/10/24
Denmark Cup
Sonderjyske1-2
HT 1-0
FC Copenhagen
11/08/24
Denmark Superligaen
Sonderjyske0-2
HT 0-1
FC Copenhagen
16/07/24
Europe Friendlies
FC Copenhagen3-2
HT 1-1
Sonderjyske

Standings · Denmark Superligaen

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Brondby 5410 10413
2 Viborg 5311 7210
3 FC Nordsjaelland 4310 6110
4 Midtjylland 4310 7410
5 FC Copenhagen 4301 1079
6 AC Horsens 5212 677
7 Odense BK 5113 464
8 Silkeborg IF 5113 484
9 Randers FC 5113 374
10 AGF Aarhus 4031 673
11 Lyngby 5023 6102
12 Sonderjyske 5014 4101

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFC CopenhagenSonderjyske
Viborg 0-4 L 0-0 D
Brondby 1-1 D 2-3 L
Odense BK 2-1 W 0-1 L
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 1 L 0 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FC Copenhagen (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Copenhagen

WWDWWDWWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
23/08 Viborg
Denmark Superligaen
0-3 0-4 63 L
16/08 Randers FC
Denmark Superligaen
3-0 4-0 41 W
02/08 Silkeborg IF
Denmark Superligaen
2-1 3-1 44 W
26/07 Lyngby
Denmark Superligaen
1-2 3-2 54 W
21/05 Brondby
Denmark Superligaen
0-0 1-1 911 D
17/05 Randers FC
Denmark Superligaen
3-0 5-0 61 W
10/05 Silkeborg IF
Denmark Superligaen
2-0 4-0 51 W
03/05 FC Fredericia
Denmark Superligaen
2-2 3-3 44 D
27/04 Vejle
Denmark Superligaen
1-0 3-0 102 W
22/04 Odense BK
Denmark Superligaen
2-0 2-1 60 W

Sonderjyske

LWLWLLLDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
23/08 FC Nordsjaelland
Denmark Superligaen
0-1 0-3 64 L
17/08 Brondby
Denmark Superligaen
0-3 2-3 16 L
07/08 Viborg
Denmark Superligaen
0-0 0-0 41 D
03/08 Odense BK
Denmark Superligaen
0-0 0-1 92 L
26/07 Midtjylland
Denmark Superligaen
2-2 2-3 53 L
17/05 FC Nordsjaelland
Denmark Superligaen
0-3 1-4 33 L
08/05 Viborg
Denmark Superligaen
0-0 1-0 01 W
03/05 AGF Aarhus
Denmark Superligaen
0-0 1-2 52 L
26/04 Brondby
Denmark Superligaen
2-0 3-0 43 W
23/04 Midtjylland
Denmark Superligaen
1-1 1-2 35 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Copenhagen vs Sonderjyske?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Copenhagen win (67%). Probabilities: FC Copenhagen 67%, draw 20%, Sonderjyske 13%.

How many goals are expected in FC Copenhagen vs Sonderjyske?

The model expects 3.39 goals (FC Copenhagen 2.38 · Sonderjyske 1.01), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Copenhagen vs Sonderjyske?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.