Football · Denmark Superligaen · 30/08, 18:00

Prediction: FC Nordsjaelland vs Brondby

Team pages: FC Nordsjaelland · Brondby

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.04Total
FC Nordsjaelland1.59
Brondby1.44
1X2
40% 26% 34%
FC Nordsjaelland Draw Brondby
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
FC Nordsjaelland 5-4-1 (W-D-L)
WWDWDLDDWW
Brondby 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
DLLWWLDLWD
Head-to-head
FC Nordsjaelland 1–3–2 Brondby (6 last)
  • Brondby3-3FC Nordsjaelland
  • Brondby1-1FC Nordsjaelland
  • FC Nordsjaelland2-1Brondby
  • Brondby2-0FC Nordsjaelland
  • FC Nordsjaelland2-2Brondby
  • FC Nordsjaelland0-1Brondby
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Nordsjaelland 1558 · Brondby 1529
FC NordsjaellandDrawBrondby
Our model40%26%34%
Market40%26%34%
Estimated total (ours) 3.04 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Brondby: 2-3-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FC NordsjaellandBrondby
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 0.71.4 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.40.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/40/30%20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.7 / 4.92.1 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.8 / 0.15.6 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Nordsjaelland 132 Brondby

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DateHomeScoreAway
04/07/26
Europe Friendlies
Brondby3-3FC Nordsjaelland
01/05/26
Denmark Superligaen
Brondby1-1
HT 0-0
FC Nordsjaelland
07/04/26
Denmark Superligaen
FC Nordsjaelland2-1
HT 0-1
Brondby
09/11/25
Denmark Superligaen
Brondby2-0
HT 2-0
FC Nordsjaelland
30/10/25
Denmark Cup
FC Nordsjaelland2-2
HT 0-1
Brondby
27/07/25
Denmark Superligaen
FC Nordsjaelland0-1
HT 0-1
Brondby

Standings · Denmark Superligaen

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Viborg 5311 7210
2 FC Nordsjaelland 4310 6110
3 Brondby 4310 7310
4 Midtjylland 4310 7410
5 FC Copenhagen 4301 1079
6 AC Horsens 5212 677
7 Odense BK 5113 464
8 Silkeborg IF 4112 354
9 Randers FC 5113 374
10 AGF Aarhus 4031 673
11 Lyngby 5023 6102
12 Sonderjyske 5014 4101

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFC NordsjaellandBrondby
Sonderjyske 3-0 W 0-3 L
Midtjylland 0-0 D 3-2 W
Viborg 0-1 L 1-0 W
AGF Aarhus 1-1 D 0-2 L
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 1 L 2 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Nordsjaelland

WWDWDLDDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
23/08 Sonderjyske
Denmark Superligaen
1-0 3-0 44 W
17/05 Sonderjyske
Denmark Superligaen
3-0 4-1 43 W
10/05 Midtjylland
Denmark Superligaen
0-0 0-0 94 D
01/05 Brondby
Denmark Superligaen
0-0 1-1 25 D
26/04 Viborg
Denmark Superligaen
0-1 0-1 54 L
23/04 AGF Aarhus
Denmark Superligaen
0-1 1-1 72 D
19/04 Viborg
Denmark Superligaen
1-1 2-1 65 W
10/04 AGF Aarhus
Denmark Superligaen
1-0 1-1 16 D
07/04 Brondby
Denmark Superligaen
0-1 2-1 54 W
22/03 Sonderjyske
Denmark Superligaen
0-0 2-0 62 W

Brondby

DLLWWLDLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
21/05 FC Copenhagen
Denmark Superligaen
0-0 1-1 811 D
17/05 Midtjylland
Denmark Superligaen
0-2 3-2 15 W
10/05 AGF Aarhus
Denmark Superligaen
0-2 0-2 56 L
01/05 FC Nordsjaelland
Denmark Superligaen
0-0 1-1 55 D
26/04 Sonderjyske
Denmark Superligaen
0-2 0-3 63 L
22/04 Viborg
Denmark Superligaen
0-0 1-0 36 W
17/04 Sonderjyske
Denmark Superligaen
3-0 6-0 54 W
12/04 Midtjylland
Denmark Superligaen
0-0 1-2 37 L
07/04 FC Nordsjaelland
Denmark Superligaen
1-0 1-2 64 L
22/03 AGF Aarhus
Denmark Superligaen
0-0 0-0 58 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Nordsjaelland vs Brondby?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Nordsjaelland win (40%). Probabilities: FC Nordsjaelland 40%, draw 26%, Brondby 34%.

How many goals are expected in FC Nordsjaelland vs Brondby?

The model expects 3.04 goals (FC Nordsjaelland 1.59 · Brondby 1.44), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Nordsjaelland vs Brondby?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.