Football · Denmark Superligaen · 30/08, 14:00

Prediction: Silkeborg IF vs Midtjylland

Team pages: Silkeborg IF · Midtjylland

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.43Total

Silkeborg IF1.12

Midtjylland2.32

1X2

16% 21% 63%

Silkeborg IF Draw Midtjylland

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-2 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Silkeborg IF 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DWLWDWWWLL

Midtjylland 4-5-1 (W-D-L)

DDWWWDDDLW

Head-to-head

Silkeborg IF 0–6 Midtjylland (6 last)

Midtjylland4-2Silkeborg IF
Silkeborg IF0-4Midtjylland
Midtjylland4-0Silkeborg IF
Midtjylland4-2Silkeborg IF
Midtjylland2-0Silkeborg IF
Midtjylland1-0Silkeborg IF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Silkeborg IF 1486 · Midtjylland 1619

	Silkeborg IF	Draw	Midtjylland
Our model	16%	21%	63%
Market	16%	21%	63%

Estimated total (ours) 3.43 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Midtjylland (rating 1486 vs 1619).
H2H favours Midtjylland: 6-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Silkeborg IF	Midtjylland
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 2.2	1.5 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1.2	0.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4	3.2 / 6.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0.2	4.2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

15.75

X4.33

21.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.25)1.80

2 (-1.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 31.82

Under 31.98

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 15:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.25 → 5.75▲	Bet365 5.75
X	4.20 → 4.33▲	Bet365 4.33
2	1.50 → 1.45▼	Bet365 1.45

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 9.4%

Time*	1	X	2
12:13 +3614’	5.25	4.20	1.50
15:12 +6’	5.75▲	4.33▲	1.45▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Silkeborg IF 0–0–6 Midtjylland

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/07/26 Europe Friendlies	Midtjylland	4-2	Silkeborg IF
22/02/26 Denmark Superligaen	Silkeborg IF	0-4 HT 0-1	Midtjylland
30/10/25 Denmark Cup	Midtjylland	4-0 HT 0-0	Silkeborg IF
24/08/25 Denmark Superligaen	Midtjylland	4-2 HT 1-1	Silkeborg IF
27/06/25 Europe Friendlies	Midtjylland	2-0 HT 2-0	Silkeborg IF
25/11/24 Denmark Superligaen	Midtjylland	1-0 HT 1-0	Silkeborg IF

Standings · Denmark Superligaen

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Viborg	5	3	1	1	7	2	10
2	FC Nordsjaelland	4	3	1	0	6	1	10
3	Brondby	4	3	1	0	7	3	10
4	Midtjylland	4	3	1	0	7	4	10
5	FC Copenhagen	4	3	0	1	10	7	9
6	AC Horsens	5	2	1	2	6	7	7
7	Odense BK	5	1	1	3	4	6	4
8	Silkeborg IF	4	1	1	2	3	5	4
9	Randers FC	5	1	1	3	3	7	4
10	AGF Aarhus	4	0	3	1	6	7	3
11	Lyngby	5	0	2	3	6	10	2
12	Sonderjyske	5	0	1	4	4	10	1

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Silkeborg IF

DWLWDWWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/05	FC Fredericia Denmark Superligaen	0-3	1-4	6	2	L
10/05	FC Copenhagen Denmark Superligaen	0-2	0-4	2	1	L
03/05	Odense BK Denmark Superligaen	1-1	3-2	3	1	W
26/04	Randers FC Denmark Superligaen	1-0	2-0	3	3	W
22/04	Vejle Denmark Superligaen	0-0	2-1	4	6	W
19/04	FC Fredericia Denmark Superligaen	2-0	2-2	5	1	D
12/04	Odense BK Denmark Superligaen	0-1	3-1	4	3	W
05/04	FC Copenhagen Denmark Superligaen	0-4	0-7	3	2	L
22/03	Randers FC Denmark Superligaen	2-0	3-0	3	2	W
16/03	Vejle Denmark Superligaen	0-1	1-1	7	4	D

Midtjylland

DDWWWDDDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	Randers FC Denmark Superligaen	1-0	1-0	10	3	W
17/05	Brondby Denmark Superligaen	2-0	2-3	5	5	L
10/05	FC Nordsjaelland Denmark Superligaen	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
04/05	Viborg Denmark Superligaen	2-2	3-3	8	3	D
26/04	AGF Aarhus Denmark Superligaen	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
23/04	Sonderjyske Denmark Superligaen	1-1	2-1	8	5	W
20/04	AGF Aarhus Denmark Superligaen	0-1	2-1	3	4	W
12/04	Brondby Denmark Superligaen	0-0	2-1	9	7	W
04/04	Sonderjyske Denmark Superligaen	1-0	2-2	9	5	D
22/03	Viborg Denmark Superligaen	0-0	1-1	6	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Silkeborg IF vs Midtjylland?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Midtjylland win (63%). Probabilities: Silkeborg IF 16%, draw 21%, Midtjylland 63%.

How many goals are expected in Silkeborg IF vs Midtjylland?

The model expects 3.43 goals (Silkeborg IF 1.12 · Midtjylland 2.32), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Silkeborg IF vs Midtjylland?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.