Football · Denmark Superligaen · 23/08, 14:00
Prediction: Midtjylland vs Randers FC
Team pages: Midtjylland · Randers FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.34Total
Midtjylland2.32
Randers FC1.02
1X2
Midtjylland
Draw
Randers FC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Midtjylland
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Randers FC
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Midtjylland
4–2
Randers FC
(6 last)
- Randers FC0-2Midtjylland
- Midtjylland2-1Randers FC
- Midtjylland2-3Randers FC
- Midtjylland3-2Randers FC
- Randers FC2-1Midtjylland
- Midtjylland4-2Randers FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Midtjylland 1605 · Randers FC 1482
| Midtjylland | Draw | Randers FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 20% | 14% |
| Market | 65% | 22% | 13% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.34 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Midtjylland (rating 1605 vs 1482).
- H2H favours Midtjylland: 4-0-2.
- High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Midtjylland | Randers FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.3 | 0.9 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.6 | 0.3 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 10/30/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 5.5 | 2.2 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.1 | 1.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Midtjylland 4–0–2 Randers FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11/25 Denmark Superligaen | Randers FC | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Midtjylland |
| 29/09/25 Denmark Superligaen | Midtjylland | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Randers FC |
| 02/07/25 Europe Friendlies | Midtjylland | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Randers FC |
| 25/05/25 Denmark Superligaen | Midtjylland | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Randers FC |
| 04/04/25 Denmark Superligaen | Randers FC | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Midtjylland |
| 16/03/25 Denmark Superligaen | Midtjylland | 4-2 HT 3-0 | Randers FC |
Standings · Denmark Superligaen
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brondby | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| 2 | FC Copenhagen | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | Midtjylland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 7 |
| 4 | FC Nordsjaelland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 |
| 5 | Viborg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | AC Horsens | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
| 7 | Silkeborg IF | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| 8 | Randers FC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| 9 | Odense BK | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 10 | AGF Aarhus | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| 11 | Lyngby | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 2 |
| 12 | Sonderjyske | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 1 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Midtjylland | Randers FC |
|---|---|---|
| Lyngby | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| FC Nordsjaelland | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Midtjylland
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Lyngby Denmark Superligaen |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 02/08 | AC Horsens Denmark Superligaen |
2-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 26/07 | Sonderjyske Denmark Superligaen |
2-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Brondby Denmark Superligaen |
2-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | FC Nordsjaelland Denmark Superligaen |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 04/05 | Viborg Denmark Superligaen |
2-2 | 3-3 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 26/04 | AGF Aarhus Denmark Superligaen |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 23/04 | Sonderjyske Denmark Superligaen |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 20/04 | AGF Aarhus Denmark Superligaen |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 12/04 | Brondby Denmark Superligaen |
0-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 7 | W |
Randers FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | FC Copenhagen Denmark Superligaen |
0-3 | 0-4 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 09/08 | Lyngby Denmark Superligaen |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 02/08 | FC Nordsjaelland Denmark Superligaen |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 27/07 | Silkeborg IF Denmark Superligaen |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 17/05 | FC Copenhagen Denmark Superligaen |
0-3 | 0-5 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 11/05 | Odense BK Denmark Superligaen |
0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 03/05 | Vejle Denmark Superligaen |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Silkeborg IF Denmark Superligaen |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 23/04 | FC Fredericia Denmark Superligaen |
1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 19/04 | Odense BK Denmark Superligaen |
0-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 0 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Midtjylland vs Randers FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Midtjylland win (65%). Probabilities: Midtjylland 65%, draw 21%, Randers FC 14%.
How many goals are expected in Midtjylland vs Randers FC?
The model expects 3.34 goals (Midtjylland 2.32 · Randers FC 1.02), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Midtjylland vs Randers FC?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.