Football · Denmark Superligaen · 03/09, 20:00

Prediction: FC Copenhagen vs FC Nordsjaelland

Team pages: FC Copenhagen · FC Nordsjaelland

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.17Total

FC Copenhagen1.87

FC Nordsjaelland1.3

1X2

50% 25% 26%

FC Copenhagen Draw FC Nordsjaelland

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Copenhagen 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WWDWWDWWWL

FC Nordsjaelland 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

WDLDDWDWWW

Head-to-head

FC Copenhagen 4–2 FC Nordsjaelland (6 last)

FC Copenhagen1-2FC Nordsjaelland
FC Nordsjaelland1-3FC Copenhagen
FC Copenhagen3-0FC Nordsjaelland
FC Nordsjaelland0-1FC Copenhagen
FC Copenhagen3-1FC Nordsjaelland
FC Nordsjaelland3-2FC Copenhagen

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Copenhagen 1605 · FC Nordsjaelland 1632

	FC Copenhagen	Draw	FC Nordsjaelland
Our model	50%	25%	26%
Market	50%	25%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 3.17 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FC Copenhagen: 4-0-2.
High corners: 12.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Copenhagen	FC Nordsjaelland
Goals for / against (FT)	2.8 / 1.2	1.4 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1.6 / 0.8	0.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/20/20%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.4 / 5.9	3.7 / 6.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.1	3.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.85

X3.75

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.88

2 (+0.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:46

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.85 → 1.85	Bet365 1.85
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.5%

Time*	1	X	2
17:42 +4’	1.85	3.75	3.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Copenhagen 4–0–2 FC Nordsjaelland

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/02/26 Denmark Superligaen	FC Copenhagen	1-2 HT 1-0	FC Nordsjaelland
15/08/25 Denmark Superligaen	FC Nordsjaelland	1-3 HT 0-0	FC Copenhagen
25/05/25 Denmark Superligaen	FC Copenhagen	3-0 HT 1-0	FC Nordsjaelland
06/04/25 Denmark Superligaen	FC Nordsjaelland	0-1 HT 0-0	FC Copenhagen
02/12/24 Denmark Superligaen	FC Copenhagen	3-1 HT 1-1	FC Nordsjaelland
25/08/24 Denmark Superligaen	FC Nordsjaelland	3-2 HT 3-0	FC Copenhagen

Standings · Denmark Superligaen

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Brondby	5	4	1	0	10	4	13
1	Viborg	6	4	1	1	10	4	13
3	FC Nordsjaelland	4	3	1	0	6	1	10
4	Midtjylland	4	3	1	0	7	4	10
5	FC Copenhagen	4	3	0	1	10	7	9
6	AC Horsens	6	2	1	3	8	10	7
7	Odense BK	5	1	1	3	4	6	4
8	Silkeborg IF	5	1	1	3	4	8	4
9	Randers FC	5	1	1	3	3	7	4
10	AGF Aarhus	4	0	3	1	6	7	3
11	Lyngby	5	0	2	3	6	10	2
12	Sonderjyske	5	0	1	4	4	10	1

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Copenhagen	FC Nordsjaelland
Viborg	0-4 L	0-1 L
Randers FC	4-0 W	1-0 W
Silkeborg IF	3-1 W	1-0 W
Brondby	1-1 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FC Copenhagen (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Copenhagen

WWDWWDWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	Viborg Denmark Superligaen	0-3	0-4	6	3	L
16/08	Randers FC Denmark Superligaen	3-0	4-0	4	1	W
02/08	Silkeborg IF Denmark Superligaen	2-1	3-1	4	4	W
26/07	Lyngby Denmark Superligaen	1-2	3-2	5	4	W
21/05	Brondby Denmark Superligaen	0-0	1-1	9	11	D
17/05	Randers FC Denmark Superligaen	3-0	5-0	6	1	W
10/05	Silkeborg IF Denmark Superligaen	2-0	4-0	5	1	W
03/05	FC Fredericia Denmark Superligaen	2-2	3-3	4	4	D
27/04	Vejle Denmark Superligaen	1-0	3-0	10	2	W
22/04	Odense BK Denmark Superligaen	2-0	2-1	6	0	W

FC Nordsjaelland

WDLDDWDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	Sonderjyske Denmark Superligaen	1-0	3-0	4	4	W
16/08	Silkeborg IF Denmark Superligaen	0-0	1-0	8	4	W
02/08	Randers FC Denmark Superligaen	0-0	1-0	11	4	W
26/07	AC Horsens Denmark Superligaen	1-1	1-1	13	2	D
17/05	Sonderjyske Denmark Superligaen	3-0	4-1	4	3	W
10/05	Midtjylland Denmark Superligaen	0-0	0-0	9	4	D
01/05	Brondby Denmark Superligaen	0-0	1-1	2	5	D
26/04	Viborg Denmark Superligaen	0-1	0-1	5	4	L
23/04	AGF Aarhus Denmark Superligaen	0-1	1-1	7	2	D
19/04	Viborg Denmark Superligaen	1-1	2-1	6	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Copenhagen vs FC Nordsjaelland?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Copenhagen win (50%). Probabilities: FC Copenhagen 50%, draw 25%, FC Nordsjaelland 26%.

How many goals are expected in FC Copenhagen vs FC Nordsjaelland?

The model expects 3.17 goals (FC Copenhagen 1.87 · FC Nordsjaelland 1.3), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Copenhagen vs FC Nordsjaelland?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.