Football · Denmark Superligaen · 05/09, 18:00

Prediction: AGF Aarhus vs Silkeborg IF

Team pages: AGF Aarhus · Silkeborg IF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.11Total

AGF Aarhus2.03

Silkeborg IF1.08

1X2

59% 22% 19%

AGF Aarhus Draw Silkeborg IF

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

AGF Aarhus 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

DDWWWDDLDL

Silkeborg IF 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WWLLDLWLLD

Head-to-head

AGF Aarhus 2–2–2 Silkeborg IF (6 last)

Silkeborg IF0-2AGF Aarhus
AGF Aarhus3-1Silkeborg IF
Silkeborg IF1-1AGF Aarhus
AGF Aarhus1-1Silkeborg IF
AGF Aarhus0-1Silkeborg IF
Silkeborg IF1-0AGF Aarhus

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AGF Aarhus 1496 · Silkeborg IF 1467

	AGF Aarhus	Draw	Silkeborg IF
Our model	58%	23%	19%
Market	59%	21%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 3.11 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	AGF Aarhus	Silkeborg IF
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.3	1.1 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.6	0.6 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 6.7	2.2 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.1	2.5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.57

X4.33

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.95

2 (+1)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.98

Under 3.251.82

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:34

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.57 → 1.57	Bet365 1.57
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.8%

Time*	1	X	2
20:32 +2’	1.57	4.33	4.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · AGF Aarhus 2–2–2 Silkeborg IF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/11/25 Denmark Superligaen	Silkeborg IF	0-2 HT 0-1	AGF Aarhus
05/10/25 Denmark Superligaen	AGF Aarhus	3-1 HT 2-1	Silkeborg IF
01/12/24 Denmark Superligaen	Silkeborg IF	1-1 HT 0-0	AGF Aarhus
15/09/24 Denmark Superligaen	AGF Aarhus	1-1 HT 1-1	Silkeborg IF
16/05/24 Denmark Superligaen	AGF Aarhus	0-1 HT 0-0	Silkeborg IF
09/05/24 Denmark Cup	Silkeborg IF	1-0 HT 1-0	AGF Aarhus

Standings · Denmark Superligaen

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Nordsjaelland	5	4	1	0	9	2	13
2	Viborg	6	4	1	1	10	4	13
3	Brondby	6	4	1	1	11	7	13
4	Midtjylland	5	3	2	0	8	5	11
5	FC Copenhagen	4	3	0	1	10	7	9
6	AC Horsens	6	2	1	3	8	10	7
7	Randers FC	6	2	1	3	5	8	7
8	Odense BK	6	1	2	3	5	7	5
9	Silkeborg IF	6	1	2	3	5	9	5
10	AGF Aarhus	5	0	3	2	7	9	3
11	Lyngby	6	0	3	3	7	11	3
12	Sonderjyske	5	0	1	4	4	10	1

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	AGF Aarhus	Silkeborg IF
Randers FC	1-2 L	1-1 D
Odense BK	2-2 D	1-0 W
Brondby	1-1 D	1-3 L
Midtjylland	0-0 D	1-1 D
FC Nordsjaelland	1-1 D	0-1 L
Record vs common	0 W 4 D 1 L	1 W 2 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AGF Aarhus

DDWWWDDLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Randers FC Denmark Superligaen	0-2	1-2	5	6	L
23/08	Odense BK Denmark Superligaen	1-2	2-2	15	6	D
14/08	Viborg Denmark Superligaen	1-1	1-2	10	1	L
01/08	Lyngby Denmark Superligaen	1-0	2-2	2	5	D
25/07	Brondby Denmark Superligaen	0-0	1-1	10	6	D
17/05	Viborg Denmark Superligaen	3-1	6-2	3	4	W
10/05	Brondby Denmark Superligaen	2-0	2-0	4	6	W
03/05	Sonderjyske Denmark Superligaen	0-0	2-1	9	2	W
26/04	Midtjylland Denmark Superligaen	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
23/04	FC Nordsjaelland Denmark Superligaen	1-0	1-1	3	2	D

Silkeborg IF

WWLLDLWLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Midtjylland Denmark Superligaen	1-0	1-1	4	1	D
24/08	Brondby Denmark Superligaen	1-0	1-3	4	6	L
16/08	FC Nordsjaelland Denmark Superligaen	0-0	0-1	1	4	L
10/08	Odense BK Denmark Superligaen	0-0	1-0	6	4	W
02/08	FC Copenhagen Denmark Superligaen	1-2	1-3	7	4	L
27/07	Randers FC Denmark Superligaen	1-1	1-1	7	1	D
17/05	FC Fredericia Denmark Superligaen	0-3	1-4	6	2	L
10/05	FC Copenhagen Denmark Superligaen	0-2	0-4	2	1	L
03/05	Odense BK Denmark Superligaen	1-1	3-2	3	1	W
26/04	Randers FC Denmark Superligaen	1-0	2-0	3	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AGF Aarhus vs Silkeborg IF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a AGF Aarhus win (59%). Probabilities: AGF Aarhus 59%, draw 22%, Silkeborg IF 19%.

How many goals are expected in AGF Aarhus vs Silkeborg IF?

The model expects 3.11 goals (AGF Aarhus 2.03 · Silkeborg IF 1.08), with a 54% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in AGF Aarhus vs Silkeborg IF?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.