Football · Denmark Superligaen · 14/09, 19:00
Prediction: Midtjylland vs Brondby
Team pages: Midtjylland · Brondby
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.05Total
Midtjylland1.83
Brondby1.22
1X2
Midtjylland
Draw
Brondby
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Midtjylland
4-5-1 (W-D-L)
Brondby
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Midtjylland
3–1–2
Brondby
(6 last)
- Midtjylland2-3Brondby
- Brondby1-2Midtjylland
- Midtjylland0-0Brondby
- Brondby1-3Midtjylland
- Brondby1-2Midtjylland
- Midtjylland0-2Brondby
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Midtjylland 1626 · Brondby 1509
| Midtjylland | Draw | Brondby | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 25% | 24% |
| Market | 51% | 24% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.05 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Midtjylland (rating 1626 vs 1509).
- H2H favours Midtjylland: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 12.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Midtjylland | Brondby | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.3 | 1.5 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.5 | 0.4 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 5.8 | 3.1 / 6.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.1 | 5.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Midtjylland 3–1–2 Brondby
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 Denmark Superligaen | Midtjylland | 2-3 HT 2-0 | Brondby |
| 12/04/26 Denmark Superligaen | Brondby | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Midtjylland |
| 01/03/26 Denmark Superligaen | Midtjylland | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Brondby |
| 31/08/25 Denmark Superligaen | Brondby | 1-3 HT 0-0 | Midtjylland |
| 19/05/25 Denmark Superligaen | Brondby | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Midtjylland |
| 30/03/25 Denmark Superligaen | Midtjylland | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Brondby |
Standings · Denmark Superligaen
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Copenhagen | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 8 | 21 |
| 2 | Midtjylland | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 7 | 15 |
| 3 | FC Nordsjaelland | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 14 |
| 4 | Viborg | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 13 |
| 5 | Brondby | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 13 |
| 6 | Randers FC | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 10 |
| 7 | AC Horsens | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 14 | 10 |
| 8 | Lyngby | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 6 |
| 9 | Silkeborg IF | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 6 |
| 10 | Odense BK | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 5 |
| 11 | AGF Aarhus | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 4 |
| 12 | Sonderjyske | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 1 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Midtjylland | Brondby |
|---|---|---|
| FC Nordsjaelland | 2-2 D | 1-3 L |
| AGF Aarhus | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Silkeborg IF | 1-1 D | 3-1 W |
| Randers FC | 1-0 W | 0-3 L |
| AC Horsens | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Sonderjyske | 3-2 W | 3-2 W |
| Viborg | 3-3 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 3 D 0 L | 4 W 1 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Midtjylland
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | FC Nordsjaelland Denmark Superligaen |
0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 02/09 | AGF Aarhus Denmark Superligaen |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 30/08 | Silkeborg IF Denmark Superligaen |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 23/08 | Randers FC Denmark Superligaen |
1-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 16/08 | Lyngby Denmark Superligaen |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 02/08 | AC Horsens Denmark Superligaen |
2-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 26/07 | Sonderjyske Denmark Superligaen |
2-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Brondby Denmark Superligaen |
2-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | FC Nordsjaelland Denmark Superligaen |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 04/05 | Viborg Denmark Superligaen |
2-2 | 3-3 | 8 | 3 | D |
Brondby
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Randers FC Denmark Superligaen |
0-1 | 0-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 30/08 | FC Nordsjaelland Denmark Superligaen |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 24/08 | Silkeborg IF Denmark Superligaen |
0-1 | 3-1 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 17/08 | Sonderjyske Denmark Superligaen |
3-0 | 3-2 | 10 | 6 | W |
| 09/08 | AC Horsens Denmark Superligaen |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 02/08 | Viborg Denmark Superligaen |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 25/07 | AGF Aarhus Denmark Superligaen |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 21/05 | FC Copenhagen Denmark Superligaen |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 11 | D |
| 17/05 | Midtjylland Denmark Superligaen |
0-2 | 3-2 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | AGF Aarhus Denmark Superligaen |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Midtjylland vs Brondby?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Midtjylland win (51%). Probabilities: Midtjylland 51%, draw 24%, Brondby 25%.
How many goals are expected in Midtjylland vs Brondby?
The model expects 3.05 goals (Midtjylland 1.83 · Brondby 1.22), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Midtjylland vs Brondby?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.