Football · Denmark Superligaen · 13/09, 16:00

Prediction: Randers FC vs Odense BK

Team pages: Randers FC · Odense BK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.68Total

Randers FC1.42

Odense BK1.26

1X2

40% 28% 33%

Randers FC Draw Odense BK

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Randers FC 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LWDLDLWLLW

Odense BK 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

WLDLLWLLDD

Head-to-head

Randers FC 0–2–4 Odense BK (6 last)

Randers FC2-2Odense BK
Odense BK3-1Randers FC
Randers FC0-0Odense BK
Odense BK3-2Randers FC
Randers FC0-2Odense BK
Odense BK2-0Randers FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Randers FC 1527 · Odense BK 1459

	Randers FC	Draw	Odense BK
Our model	39%	28%	32%
Market	40%	27%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 2.68 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Randers FC (rating 1527 vs 1459).
H2H favours Odense BK: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Randers FC	Odense BK
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.7	1.1 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1	0.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.5	2.9 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.2 / 0.3	3.1 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.30

X3.40

22.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.83

Under 2.752.01

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:29

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Pinn 2.50 ★
X	3.40 → 3.40	Pinn 3.56
2	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.6% Pinnacle margin 5%

Time*	1	X	2
15:48 +3401’	2.30	3.40	2.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
22:04 +145’	2.50	3.58	2.70
02:27 +1’	2.50	3.56▼	2.71▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Randers FC 0–2–4 Odense BK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/05/26 Denmark Superligaen	Randers FC	2-2 HT 0-1	Odense BK
19/04/26 Denmark Superligaen	Odense BK	3-1 HT 1-0	Randers FC
24/11/25 Denmark Superligaen	Randers FC	0-0 HT 0-0	Odense BK
11/08/25 Denmark Superligaen	Odense BK	3-2 HT 3-2	Randers FC
12/07/25 Club Friendly List	Randers FC	0-2 HT 0-1	Odense BK
19/05/24 Denmark Superligaen	Odense BK	2-0 HT 1-0	Randers FC

Standings · Denmark Superligaen

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Copenhagen	7	6	0	1	20	8	18
2	Midtjylland	6	4	2	0	10	5	14
3	FC Nordsjaelland	6	4	1	1	9	4	13
4	Brondby	6	4	1	1	11	7	13
5	Viborg	7	4	1	2	10	6	13
6	AC Horsens	7	3	1	3	13	12	10
7	Randers FC	6	2	1	3	5	8	7
8	Lyngby	7	1	3	3	9	11	6
9	Silkeborg IF	7	1	3	3	7	11	6
10	Odense BK	7	1	2	4	5	12	5
11	AGF Aarhus	7	0	4	3	9	13	4
12	Sonderjyske	7	0	1	6	7	18	1

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Randers FC	Odense BK
AGF Aarhus	2-1 W	2-2 D
Lyngby	2-0 W	1-1 D
Silkeborg IF	1-1 D	0-1 L
Vejle	1-0 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 0 L	0 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Randers FC (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Randers FC

LWDLDLWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	AGF Aarhus Denmark Superligaen	2-0	2-1	1	6	W
23/08	Midtjylland Denmark Superligaen	0-1	0-1	5	3	L
16/08	FC Copenhagen Denmark Superligaen	0-3	0-4	6	1	L
09/08	Lyngby Denmark Superligaen	1-0	2-0	3	1	W
02/08	FC Nordsjaelland Denmark Superligaen	0-0	0-1	4	4	L
27/07	Silkeborg IF Denmark Superligaen	1-1	1-1	5	1	D
17/05	FC Copenhagen Denmark Superligaen	0-3	0-5	5	1	L
11/05	Odense BK Denmark Superligaen	0-1	2-2	8	2	D
03/05	Vejle Denmark Superligaen	0-0	1-0	3	3	W
26/04	Silkeborg IF Denmark Superligaen	0-1	0-2	5	3	L

Odense BK

WLDLLWLLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Lyngby Denmark Superligaen	0-0	1-1	6	8	D
23/08	AGF Aarhus Denmark Superligaen	2-1	2-2	0	6	D
16/08	AC Horsens Denmark Superligaen	1-1	1-2	9	1	L
10/08	Silkeborg IF Denmark Superligaen	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
03/08	Sonderjyske Denmark Superligaen	0-0	1-0	7	2	W
24/07	Viborg Denmark Superligaen	0-0	0-1	10	3	L
17/05	Vejle Denmark Superligaen	0-1	0-1	8	3	L
11/05	Randers FC Denmark Superligaen	1-0	2-2	3	2	D
03/05	Silkeborg IF Denmark Superligaen	1-1	2-3	8	1	L
26/04	FC Fredericia Denmark Superligaen	2-0	2-0	3	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Randers FC vs Odense BK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Randers FC win (40%). Probabilities: Randers FC 40%, draw 28%, Odense BK 33%.

How many goals are expected in Randers FC vs Odense BK?

The model expects 2.68 goals (Randers FC 1.42 · Odense BK 1.26), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Randers FC vs Odense BK?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.