Football · Denmark Superligaen · 20/09, 14:00

Prediction: Brondby vs FC Copenhagen

Team pages: Brondby · FC Copenhagen

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.19Total

Brondby1.51

FC Copenhagen1.68

1X2

33% 26% 41%

Brondby Draw FC Copenhagen

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Brondby 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWDDWWWWLL

FC Copenhagen 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WDWWWLWWWW

Head-to-head

Brondby 2–2–2 FC Copenhagen (6 last)

Brondby1-1FC Copenhagen
FC Copenhagen1-0Brondby
Brondby2-1FC Copenhagen
Brondby0-3FC Copenhagen
FC Copenhagen1-2Brondby
Brondby0-0FC Copenhagen

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Brondby 1503 · FC Copenhagen 1635

	Brondby	Draw	FC Copenhagen
Our model	34%	25%	41%
Market	33%	27%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 3.19 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Copenhagen (rating 1503 vs 1635).
High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Brondby	FC Copenhagen
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.5	2.8 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.8	1.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	70/10/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 6.6	3 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.6 / 0.1	3.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.80

X3.50

22.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.80

2 (-0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 22:53

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.63 → 2.80▲	Pinn 2.93
X	3.50 → 3.50	Pinn 3.68 ★
2	2.45 → 2.30▼	Bet365 2.30

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 7.8% Pinnacle margin 5%

Time*	1	X	2
14:27	2.63	3.50	2.45
22:46 +7’	2.80▲	3.50	2.30▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
20:19 +5’	2.71	3.60	2.48
20:51 +61’	2.85▲	3.67▲	2.35▼
21:57 +56’	2.90▲	3.68▲	2.31▼
22:54 +36’	2.93▲	3.68	2.29▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Brondby 2–2–2 FC Copenhagen

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/05/26 Denmark Superligaen	Brondby	1-1 HT 0-0	FC Copenhagen
23/11/25 Denmark Superligaen	FC Copenhagen	1-0 HT 0-0	Brondby
13/09/25 Denmark Superligaen	Brondby	2-1 HT 1-0	FC Copenhagen
04/05/25 Denmark Superligaen	Brondby	0-3 HT 0-1	FC Copenhagen
13/04/25 Denmark Superligaen	FC Copenhagen	1-2 HT 0-1	Brondby
27/10/24 Denmark Superligaen	Brondby	0-0 HT 0-0	FC Copenhagen

Standings · Denmark Superligaen

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Copenhagen	8	7	0	1	22	8	21
2	Midtjylland	8	5	3	0	16	8	18
3	FC Nordsjaelland	8	5	2	1	13	6	17
4	Viborg	8	4	2	2	11	7	14
5	Brondby	8	4	1	3	12	14	13
6	AC Horsens	8	3	1	4	13	14	10
7	Randers FC	8	3	1	4	9	10	10
8	Odense BK	8	2	2	4	7	13	8
9	Lyngby	8	1	4	3	10	12	7
10	Silkeborg IF	8	1	4	3	8	12	7
11	AGF Aarhus	8	0	4	4	9	15	4
12	Sonderjyske	8	0	2	6	8	19	2

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Brondby	FC Copenhagen
Randers FC	0-3 L	4-0 W
FC Nordsjaelland	1-3 L	2-0 W
Silkeborg IF	3-1 W	3-1 W
Sonderjyske	3-2 W	3-1 W
AC Horsens	2-0 W	2-0 W
Viborg	1-0 W	0-4 L
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 2 L	5 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FC Copenhagen (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Brondby

LWDDWWWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Randers FC Denmark Superligaen	0-1	0-3	8	4	L
30/08	FC Nordsjaelland Denmark Superligaen	0-2	1-3	5	4	L
24/08	Silkeborg IF Denmark Superligaen	0-1	3-1	9	6	W
17/08	Sonderjyske Denmark Superligaen	3-0	3-2	10	6	W
09/08	AC Horsens Denmark Superligaen	1-0	2-0	6	4	W
02/08	Viborg Denmark Superligaen	0-0	1-0	8	5	W
25/07	AGF Aarhus Denmark Superligaen	0-0	1-1	6	6	D
21/05	FC Copenhagen Denmark Superligaen	0-0	1-1	8	11	D
17/05	Midtjylland Denmark Superligaen	0-2	3-2	1	5	W
10/05	AGF Aarhus Denmark Superligaen	0-2	0-2	5	6	L

FC Copenhagen

WDWWWLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/09	AC Horsens Denmark Superligaen	1-0	2-0	7	4	W
06/09	Odense BK Denmark Superligaen	2-0	5-0	2	4	W
03/09	FC Nordsjaelland Denmark Superligaen	2-0	2-0	2	5	W
31/08	Sonderjyske Denmark Superligaen	2-1	3-1	7	3	W
23/08	Viborg Denmark Superligaen	0-3	0-4	6	3	L
16/08	Randers FC Denmark Superligaen	3-0	4-0	4	1	W
02/08	Silkeborg IF Denmark Superligaen	2-1	3-1	4	4	W
26/07	Lyngby Denmark Superligaen	1-2	3-2	5	4	W
21/05	Brondby Denmark Superligaen	0-0	1-1	9	11	D
17/05	Randers FC Denmark Superligaen	3-0	5-0	6	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Brondby vs FC Copenhagen?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Copenhagen win (41%). Probabilities: Brondby 33%, draw 26%, FC Copenhagen 41%.

How many goals are expected in Brondby vs FC Copenhagen?

The model expects 3.19 goals (Brondby 1.51 · FC Copenhagen 1.68), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Brondby vs FC Copenhagen?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.