Football · Denmark Superligaen · 25/10, 14:00

Prediction: Midtjylland vs Lyngby

Team pages: Midtjylland · Lyngby

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.28Total
Midtjylland2.26
Lyngby1.02
1X2
65% 20% 15%
Midtjylland Draw Lyngby
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
2-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Midtjylland 6-4-0 (W-D-L)
WDWDWDWDWW
Lyngby 1-5-4 (W-D-L)
DLDLDWDLLD
Head-to-head
Midtjylland 3–1–2 Lyngby (6 last)
  • Lyngby1-1Midtjylland
  • Midtjylland1-0Lyngby
  • Lyngby1-2Midtjylland
  • Midtjylland2-1Lyngby
  • Lyngby4-1Midtjylland
  • Lyngby2-1Midtjylland
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Midtjylland 1587 · Lyngby 1475
MidtjyllandDrawLyngby
Our model65%21%15%
Market65%19%16%
Estimated total (ours) 3.28 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Midtjylland (rating 1587 vs 1475).
  • H2H favours Midtjylland: 3-1-2.
  • High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

MidtjyllandLyngby
Goals for / against (FT)1.8 / 0.91.3 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.10.4 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)60/30/10%30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 5.33.2 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.6 / 0.34.9 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Midtjylland 3–1–2 Lyngby

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DateHomeScoreAway
16/08/26
Denmark Superligaen
Lyngby1-1
HT 0-0
Midtjylland
16/02/25
Denmark Superligaen
Midtjylland1-0
HT 1-0
Lyngby
16/08/24
Denmark Superligaen
Lyngby1-2
HT 0-0
Midtjylland
27/10/23
Denmark Superligaen
Midtjylland2-1
HT 1-1
Lyngby
06/08/23
Denmark Superligaen
Lyngby4-1
HT 2-0
Midtjylland
07/05/23
Denmark Superligaen
Lyngby2-1
HT 2-1
Midtjylland

Standings · Denmark Superligaen

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 FC Copenhagen 11812 251125
2 Midtjylland 11740 211125
3 Viborg 11623 181020
4 FC Nordsjaelland 11542 171319
5 Brondby 11515 181916
6 AC Horsens 11344 181913
7 Odense BK 11344 101513
8 Silkeborg IF 11254 151911
9 Randers FC 11326 111611
10 AGF Aarhus 11164 15189
11 Sonderjyske 11227 16248
12 Lyngby 11155 15248

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentMidtjyllandLyngby
Viborg 2-1 W 2-0 W
Odense BK 1-1 D 1-1 D
Brondby 4-1 W 2-5 L
FC Nordsjaelland 2-2 D 3-3 D
AGF Aarhus 2-0 W 2-2 D
Silkeborg IF 1-1 D 0-4 L
Randers FC 1-0 W 0-2 L
AC Horsens 2-1 W 1-2 L
Record vs common 5 W 3 D 0 L 1 W 3 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Midtjylland (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Midtjylland

WDWDWDWDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/10 Viborg
Denmark Superligaen
0-0 2-1 36 W
11/10 FC Copenhagen
Denmark Superligaen
1-0 2-1 44 W
19/09 Odense BK
Denmark Superligaen
1-0 1-1 25 D
14/09 Brondby
Denmark Superligaen
2-0 4-1 64 W
07/09 FC Nordsjaelland
Denmark Superligaen
0-0 2-2 41 D
02/09 AGF Aarhus
Denmark Superligaen
1-0 2-0 55 W
30/08 Silkeborg IF
Denmark Superligaen
0-1 1-1 71 D
23/08 Randers FC
Denmark Superligaen
1-0 1-0 103 W
16/08 Lyngby
Denmark Superligaen
0-0 1-1 55 D
02/08 AC Horsens
Denmark Superligaen
2-0 2-1 75 W

Lyngby

DLDLDWDLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/10 FC Nordsjaelland
Denmark Superligaen
2-0 3-3 19 D
11/10 Brondby
Denmark Superligaen
0-3 2-5 45 L
18/09 Silkeborg IF
Denmark Superligaen
0-1 0-4 76 L
13/09 Sonderjyske
Denmark Superligaen
1-0 1-1 62 D
04/09 Viborg
Denmark Superligaen
1-0 2-0 52 W
30/08 Odense BK
Denmark Superligaen
0-0 1-1 48 D
23/08 AC Horsens
Denmark Superligaen
0-1 1-2 97 L
16/08 Midtjylland
Denmark Superligaen
0-0 1-1 35 D
09/08 Randers FC
Denmark Superligaen
0-1 0-2 91 L
01/08 AGF Aarhus
Denmark Superligaen
0-1 2-2 45 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Midtjylland vs Lyngby?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Midtjylland win (65%). Probabilities: Midtjylland 65%, draw 20%, Lyngby 15%.

How many goals are expected in Midtjylland vs Lyngby?

The model expects 3.28 goals (Midtjylland 2.26 · Lyngby 1.02), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Midtjylland vs Lyngby?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.