Football · Denmark Superligaen · 25/10, 14:00

Prediction: Silkeborg IF vs FC Nordsjaelland

Team pages: Silkeborg IF · FC Nordsjaelland

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.25Total

Silkeborg IF1.23

FC Nordsjaelland2.02

1X2

22% 23% 55%

Silkeborg IF Draw FC Nordsjaelland

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Silkeborg IF 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LWLLDDDWDL

FC Nordsjaelland 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWLDWLDD

Head-to-head

Silkeborg IF 2–1–3 FC Nordsjaelland (6 last)

FC Nordsjaelland1-0Silkeborg IF
FC Nordsjaelland4-0Silkeborg IF
Silkeborg IF4-2FC Nordsjaelland
FC Nordsjaelland1-1Silkeborg IF
Silkeborg IF4-1FC Nordsjaelland
FC Nordsjaelland4-1Silkeborg IF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Silkeborg IF 1462 · FC Nordsjaelland 1575

	Silkeborg IF	Draw	FC Nordsjaelland
Our model	22%	23%	55%
Market	22%	22%	55%

Estimated total (ours) 3.25 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Nordsjaelland (rating 1462 vs 1575).
H2H favours FC Nordsjaelland: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Silkeborg IF	FC Nordsjaelland
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.8	1.6 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.7	0.4 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.7	2.3 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.3	4.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

14.20

X4.20

21.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.98

2 (-0.75)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.85

Under 3.251.95

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 16:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.75 → 4.20▼	Pinn 4.41 ★
X	4.20 → 4.20	Pinn 4.35
2	1.57 → 1.70▲	Bet365 1.70

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 6.4% Pinnacle margin 5.5%

Time*	1	X	2
12:08 +6’	4.75	4.20	1.57
02:17 +2’	4.10▼	4.10▼	1.67▲
15:52 +30’	4.20▲	4.20▲	1.70▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
20:25 +233’	4.35	4.32	1.68
11:14 +5’	4.41▲	4.35▲	1.67▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Silkeborg IF 2–1–3 FC Nordsjaelland

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/08/26 Denmark Superligaen	FC Nordsjaelland	1-0 HT 0-0	Silkeborg IF
07/12/25 Denmark Superligaen	FC Nordsjaelland	4-0 HT 4-0	Silkeborg IF
10/08/25 Denmark Superligaen	Silkeborg IF	4-2 HT 2-1	FC Nordsjaelland
20/10/24 Denmark Superligaen	FC Nordsjaelland	1-1 HT 0-1	Silkeborg IF
18/08/24 Denmark Superligaen	Silkeborg IF	4-1 HT 2-1	FC Nordsjaelland
12/05/24 Denmark Superligaen	FC Nordsjaelland	4-1 HT 1-1	Silkeborg IF

Standings · Denmark Superligaen

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Copenhagen	11	8	1	2	25	11	25
2	Midtjylland	11	7	4	0	21	11	25
3	Viborg	11	6	2	3	18	10	20
4	FC Nordsjaelland	11	5	4	2	17	13	19
5	Brondby	11	5	1	5	18	19	16
6	AC Horsens	11	3	4	4	18	19	13
7	Odense BK	11	3	4	4	10	15	13
8	Silkeborg IF	11	2	5	4	15	19	11
9	Randers FC	11	3	2	6	11	16	11
10	AGF Aarhus	11	1	6	4	15	18	9
11	Sonderjyske	11	2	2	7	16	24	8
12	Lyngby	11	1	5	5	15	24	8

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Silkeborg IF	FC Nordsjaelland
Sonderjyske	0-4 L	3-0 W
Lyngby	4-0 W	3-3 D
Viborg	1-1 D	1-4 L
AGF Aarhus	2-2 D	2-0 W
Midtjylland	1-1 D	2-2 D
Brondby	1-3 L	3-1 W
Odense BK	1-0 W	0-0 D
FC Copenhagen	1-3 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 3 L	3 W 3 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Silkeborg IF

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Sonderjyske Denmark Superligaen	0-3	0-4	1	3	L
11/10	AC Horsens Denmark Superligaen	0-2	3-3	6	4	D
18/09	Lyngby Denmark Superligaen	1-0	4-0	1	6	W
13/09	Viborg Denmark Superligaen	1-0	1-1	4	2	D
05/09	AGF Aarhus Denmark Superligaen	2-0	2-2	3	1	D
30/08	Midtjylland Denmark Superligaen	1-0	1-1	4	1	D
24/08	Brondby Denmark Superligaen	1-0	1-3	4	6	L
16/08	FC Nordsjaelland Denmark Superligaen	0-0	0-1	1	4	L
10/08	Odense BK Denmark Superligaen	0-0	1-0	6	4	W
02/08	FC Copenhagen Denmark Superligaen	1-2	1-3	7	4	L

FC Nordsjaelland

WWWWLDWLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Lyngby Denmark Superligaen	0-2	3-3	7	9	D
09/10	Odense BK Denmark Superligaen	0-0	0-0	9	4	D
20/09	Viborg Denmark Superligaen	1-3	1-4	5	2	L
13/09	AGF Aarhus Denmark Superligaen	0-0	2-0	2	4	W
07/09	Midtjylland Denmark Superligaen	0-0	2-2	3	1	D
03/09	FC Copenhagen Denmark Superligaen	0-2	0-2	0	5	L
30/08	Brondby Denmark Superligaen	2-0	3-1	4	4	W
23/08	Sonderjyske Denmark Superligaen	1-0	3-0	4	4	W
16/08	Silkeborg IF Denmark Superligaen	0-0	1-0	8	4	W
02/08	Randers FC Denmark Superligaen	0-0	1-0	11	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Silkeborg IF vs FC Nordsjaelland?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Nordsjaelland win (55%). Probabilities: Silkeborg IF 22%, draw 23%, FC Nordsjaelland 55%.

How many goals are expected in Silkeborg IF vs FC Nordsjaelland?

The model expects 3.25 goals (Silkeborg IF 1.23 · FC Nordsjaelland 2.02), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Silkeborg IF vs FC Nordsjaelland?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.