Football · Denmark Superligaen · 01/11, 14:00

Prediction: Viborg vs AC Horsens

Team pages: Viborg · AC Horsens

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.16Total

Viborg2.12

AC Horsens1.04

1X2

61% 22% 17%

Viborg Draw AC Horsens

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Viborg 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DWWWLDWWLL

AC Horsens 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LWWLWLDDDW

Head-to-head

Viborg 6–0 AC Horsens (6 last)

AC Horsens2-3Viborg
AC Horsens0-1Viborg
AC Horsens0-4Viborg
Viborg4-2AC Horsens
AC Horsens0-3Viborg
Viborg2-1AC Horsens

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Viborg 1504 · AC Horsens 1543

	Viborg	Draw	AC Horsens
Our model	61%	22%	17%
Market	61%	22%	17%

Estimated total (ours) 3.16 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Viborg: 6-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Viborg	AC Horsens
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.1	2.1 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.5	0.9 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 4.7	1.5 / 2.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0	4.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.50

X4.10

25.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.85

2 (+1)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.50	Pinn 1.53
X	4.10 → 4.10	Pinn 4.55 ★
2	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.2% Pinnacle margin 5.7%

Time*	1	X	2
12:08 +8’	1.50	4.10	5.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
19:15 +304’	1.56	4.38	5.38
00:54 +24’	1.55▼	4.42▲	5.39▲
09:13 +1’	1.54▼	4.44▲	5.48▲
12:06 +11’	1.52▼	4.53▲	5.57▲
20:18 +15’	1.51▼	4.61▲	5.59▲
14:15 +27’	1.52▲	4.58▼	5.55▼
18:33 +29’	1.53▲	4.55▼	5.47▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Viborg 6–0–0 AC Horsens

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/08/26 Denmark Superligaen	AC Horsens	2-3 HT 0-2	Viborg
04/09/25 Denmark Cup	AC Horsens	0-1 HT 0-0	Viborg
04/09/24 Denmark Cup	AC Horsens	0-4 HT 0-2	Viborg
25/01/24 Club Friendly List	Viborg	4-2 HT 2-1	AC Horsens
26/02/23 Denmark Superligaen	AC Horsens	0-3 HT 0-3	Viborg
12/09/22 Denmark Superligaen	Viborg	2-1 HT 2-0	AC Horsens

Standings · Denmark Superligaen

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Midtjylland	12	8	4	0	24	13	28
2	FC Copenhagen	12	8	2	2	26	12	26
3	Viborg	12	6	2	4	19	12	20
4	FC Nordsjaelland	12	5	5	2	18	14	20
5	Brondby	12	6	1	5	21	20	19
6	AC Horsens	12	4	4	4	23	20	16
7	Odense BK	12	3	5	4	11	16	14
8	AGF Aarhus	12	2	6	4	17	19	12
9	Silkeborg IF	12	2	6	4	16	20	12
10	Randers FC	12	3	2	7	12	19	11
11	Lyngby	12	1	5	6	17	27	8
12	Sonderjyske	12	2	2	8	17	29	8

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Viborg	AC Horsens
AGF Aarhus	1-2 L	2-2 D
Randers FC	2-0 W	0-0 D
Silkeborg IF	1-1 D	3-3 D
Lyngby	0-2 L	2-1 W
FC Copenhagen	4-0 W	0-2 L
Sonderjyske	0-0 D	5-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 2 L	2 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: AC Horsens (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Viborg

DWWWLDWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	AGF Aarhus Denmark Superligaen	0-1	1-2	3	7	L
19/10	Midtjylland Denmark Superligaen	0-0	1-2	3	6	L
11/10	Randers FC Denmark Superligaen	1-0	2-0	7	4	W
20/09	FC Nordsjaelland Denmark Superligaen	3-1	4-1	4	2	W
13/09	Silkeborg IF Denmark Superligaen	0-1	1-1	6	2	D
04/09	Lyngby Denmark Superligaen	0-1	0-2	7	2	L
28/08	AC Horsens Denmark Superligaen	2-0	3-2	6	4	W
23/08	FC Copenhagen Denmark Superligaen	3-0	4-0	1	3	W
14/08	AGF Aarhus Denmark Superligaen	1-1	2-1	3	1	W
07/08	Sonderjyske Denmark Superligaen	0-0	0-0	7	1	D

AC Horsens

LWWLWLDDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Sonderjyske Denmark Superligaen	3-1	5-1	2	4	W
16/10	Randers FC Denmark Superligaen	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
11/10	Silkeborg IF Denmark Superligaen	2-0	3-3	4	4	D
20/09	AGF Aarhus Denmark Superligaen	0-0	2-2	3	4	D
11/09	FC Copenhagen Denmark Superligaen	0-1	0-2	4	4	L
06/09	Sonderjyske Denmark Superligaen	2-1	5-2	1	7	W
28/08	Viborg Denmark Superligaen	0-2	2-3	3	4	L
23/08	Lyngby Denmark Superligaen	1-0	2-1	2	7	W
16/08	Odense BK Denmark Superligaen	1-1	2-1	3	1	W
09/08	Brondby Denmark Superligaen	0-1	0-2	3	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Viborg vs AC Horsens?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Viborg win (61%). Probabilities: Viborg 61%, draw 22%, AC Horsens 17%.

How many goals are expected in Viborg vs AC Horsens?

The model expects 3.16 goals (Viborg 2.12 · AC Horsens 1.04), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Viborg vs AC Horsens?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.