Prediction: Midtjylland vs Sonderjyske
Team pages: Midtjylland · Sonderjyske
- Sonderjyske2-3Midtjylland
- Sonderjyske1-2Midtjylland
- Midtjylland2-2Sonderjyske
- Sonderjyske2-1Midtjylland
- Midtjylland6-2Sonderjyske
- Sonderjyske3-2Midtjylland
| Midtjylland | Draw | Sonderjyske | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 70% | 17% | 13% |
| Market | 70% | 17% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Midtjylland (rating 1570 vs 1435).
- H2H favours Midtjylland: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Midtjylland | Sonderjyske | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 1.1 | 1.5 / 2.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.4 | 0.8 / 1.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/20/20% | 20/0/80% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.8 | 1.2 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.3 | 3.4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Midtjylland 3–1–2 Sonderjyske
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07/26 Denmark Superligaen | Sonderjyske | 2-3 HT 2-2 | Midtjylland |
| 23/04/26 Denmark Superligaen | Sonderjyske | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Midtjylland |
| 04/04/26 Denmark Superligaen | Midtjylland | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Sonderjyske |
| 23/11/25 Denmark Superligaen | Sonderjyske | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Midtjylland |
| 28/07/25 Denmark Superligaen | Midtjylland | 6-2 HT 3-1 | Sonderjyske |
| 20/10/24 Denmark Superligaen | Sonderjyske | 3-2 HT 1-0 | Midtjylland |
Standings · Denmark Superligaen
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Midtjylland | 13 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 27 | 15 | 31 |
| 2 | FC Copenhagen | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 12 | 29 |
| 3 | Viborg | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 13 | 26 |
| 4 | Brondby | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 22 |
| 5 | FC Nordsjaelland | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 17 | 20 |
| 6 | Odense BK | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 19 | 17 |
| 7 | AC Horsens | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 21 | 16 |
| 8 | Silkeborg IF | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 24 | 15 |
| 9 | AGF Aarhus | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 21 | 12 |
| 10 | Randers FC | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 21 | 11 |
| 11 | Lyngby | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 29 | 11 |
| 12 | Sonderjyske | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 17 | 31 | 8 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Midtjylland | Sonderjyske |
|---|---|---|
| FC Nordsjaelland | 3-2 W | 0-3 L |
| Lyngby | 3-2 W | 1-1 D |
| FC Copenhagen | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Brondby | 4-1 W | 2-3 L |
| AGF Aarhus | 2-0 W | 0-3 L |
| Silkeborg IF | 1-1 D | 4-0 W |
| Randers FC | 1-0 W | 4-2 W |
| Record vs common | 6 W 1 D 0 L | 2 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Midtjylland (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Midtjylland
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | FC Nordsjaelland Denmark Superligaen |
0-2 | 3-2 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 25/10 | Lyngby Denmark Superligaen |
2-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 19/10 | Viborg Denmark Superligaen |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 11/10 | FC Copenhagen Denmark Superligaen |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 19/09 | Odense BK Denmark Superligaen |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 14/09 | Brondby Denmark Superligaen |
2-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 07/09 | FC Nordsjaelland Denmark Superligaen |
0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 02/09 | AGF Aarhus Denmark Superligaen |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 30/08 | Silkeborg IF Denmark Superligaen |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 23/08 | Randers FC Denmark Superligaen |
1-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
Sonderjyske
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | FC Copenhagen Denmark Superligaen |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 25/10 | AC Horsens Denmark Superligaen |
1-3 | 1-5 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 18/10 | Silkeborg IF Denmark Superligaen |
3-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 12/10 | AGF Aarhus Denmark Superligaen |
0-3 | 0-3 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 20/09 | Randers FC Denmark Superligaen |
2-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 13/09 | Lyngby Denmark Superligaen |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 06/09 | AC Horsens Denmark Superligaen |
1-2 | 2-5 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 31/08 | FC Copenhagen Denmark Superligaen |
1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 23/08 | FC Nordsjaelland Denmark Superligaen |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 17/08 | Brondby Denmark Superligaen |
0-3 | 2-3 | 1 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Midtjylland vs Sonderjyske?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Midtjylland win (70%). Probabilities: Midtjylland 70%, draw 17%, Sonderjyske 13%.
How many goals are expected in Midtjylland vs Sonderjyske?
The model expects 3.83 goals (Midtjylland 2.69 · Sonderjyske 1.14), with a 56% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Midtjylland vs Sonderjyske?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.