Football · Denmark Superligaen · 08/11, 12:00

Prediction: FC Copenhagen vs Brondby

Team pages: FC Copenhagen · Brondby

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.1Total

FC Copenhagen1.91

Brondby1.19

1X2

53% 24% 22%

FC Copenhagen Draw Brondby

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Copenhagen 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

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Brondby 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

FC Copenhagen 3–1–2 Brondby (6 last)

Brondby0-1FC Copenhagen
Brondby1-1FC Copenhagen
FC Copenhagen1-0Brondby
Brondby2-1FC Copenhagen
Brondby0-3FC Copenhagen
FC Copenhagen1-2Brondby

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Copenhagen 1589 · Brondby 1530

	FC Copenhagen	Draw	Brondby
Our model	53%	24%	22%
Market	53%	24%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 3.1 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Copenhagen (rating 1589 vs 1530).
H2H favours FC Copenhagen: 3-1-2.
High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Copenhagen	Brondby
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 0.9	1.9 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.6	0.9 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/10/30%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 4.9	4 / 6.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.1	3.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.73

X3.80

24.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.95

2 (+0.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.73	Pinn 1.74
X	3.80 → 3.80	Pinn 4.06 ★
2	4.10 → 4.10	Pinn 4.34

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.6% Pinnacle margin 5.1%

Time*	1	X	2
11:10 +3’	1.73	3.80	4.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
19:23 +16’	1.81	3.90	3.97
20:38	1.82▲	3.95▲	4.02▲
21:32 +3’	1.74▼	4.06▲	4.34▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Copenhagen 3–1–2 Brondby

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/09/26 Denmark Superligaen	Brondby	0-1 HT 0-0	FC Copenhagen
21/05/26 Denmark Superligaen	Brondby	1-1 HT 0-0	FC Copenhagen
23/11/25 Denmark Superligaen	FC Copenhagen	1-0 HT 0-0	Brondby
13/09/25 Denmark Superligaen	Brondby	2-1 HT 1-0	FC Copenhagen
04/05/25 Denmark Superligaen	Brondby	0-3 HT 0-1	FC Copenhagen
13/04/25 Denmark Superligaen	FC Copenhagen	1-2 HT 0-1	Brondby

Standings · Denmark Superligaen

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Midtjylland	13	9	4	0	27	15	31
2	FC Copenhagen	12	8	2	2	26	12	26
3	Viborg	13	7	2	4	20	12	23
4	Brondby	13	7	1	5	23	20	22
5	FC Nordsjaelland	13	5	5	3	20	17	20
6	Odense BK	13	4	5	4	15	17	17
7	AC Horsens	13	4	4	5	23	21	16
8	AGF Aarhus	13	2	6	5	17	21	12
9	Silkeborg IF	13	2	6	5	17	24	12
10	Randers FC	13	3	2	8	13	21	11
11	Lyngby	13	2	5	6	19	28	11
12	Sonderjyske	12	2	2	8	17	29	8

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Copenhagen	Brondby
Odense BK	1-1 D	1-2 L
AGF Aarhus	1-1 D	2-0 W
Midtjylland	1-2 L	1-4 L
FC Nordsjaelland	2-0 W	1-3 L
Sonderjyske	3-1 W	3-2 W
Randers FC	4-0 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: FC Copenhagen (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Copenhagen

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/10	Odense BK Denmark Superligaen	0-1	1-1	4	2	D
18/10	AGF Aarhus Denmark Superligaen	1-0	1-1	11	2	D
11/10	Midtjylland Denmark Superligaen	0-1	1-2	2	4	L
20/09	Brondby Denmark Superligaen	0-0	1-0	4	3	W
11/09	AC Horsens Denmark Superligaen	1-0	2-0	7	4	W
06/09	Odense BK Denmark Superligaen	2-0	5-0	2	4	W
03/09	FC Nordsjaelland Denmark Superligaen	2-0	2-0	2	5	W
31/08	Sonderjyske Denmark Superligaen	2-1	3-1	7	3	W
23/08	Viborg Denmark Superligaen	0-3	0-4	6	3	L
16/08	Randers FC Denmark Superligaen	3-0	4-0	4	1	W

Brondby

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	AGF Aarhus Denmark Superligaen	1-0	2-0	9	4	W
23/10	Randers FC Denmark Superligaen	1-1	3-1	6	1	W
18/10	Odense BK Denmark Superligaen	1-2	1-2	9	3	L
11/10	Lyngby Denmark Superligaen	3-0	5-2	8	5	W
20/09	FC Copenhagen Denmark Superligaen	0-0	0-1	1	3	L
14/09	Midtjylland Denmark Superligaen	0-2	1-4	2	4	L
06/09	Randers FC Denmark Superligaen	0-1	0-3	8	4	L
30/08	FC Nordsjaelland Denmark Superligaen	0-2	1-3	5	4	L
24/08	Silkeborg IF Denmark Superligaen	0-1	3-1	9	6	W
17/08	Sonderjyske Denmark Superligaen	3-0	3-2	10	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Copenhagen vs Brondby?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Copenhagen win (53%). Probabilities: FC Copenhagen 53%, draw 24%, Brondby 22%.

How many goals are expected in FC Copenhagen vs Brondby?

The model expects 3.1 goals (FC Copenhagen 1.91 · Brondby 1.19), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Copenhagen vs Brondby?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.