Football · Denmark Superligaen · 26/07, 18:00
Prediction: AC Horsens vs FC Nordsjaelland
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.7Total
AC Horsens1.09
FC Nordsjaelland1.61
1X2
AC Horsens
Draw
FC Nordsjaelland
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
AC Horsens
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
FC Nordsjaelland
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
AC Horsens
1–3–2
FC Nordsjaelland
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · AC Horsens 1526 · FC Nordsjaelland 1493
| AC Horsens | Draw | FC Nordsjaelland | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 24% | 27% | 48% |
| Market | 25% | 27% | 49% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.7 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours FC Nordsjaelland: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 4.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| AC Horsens | FC Nordsjaelland | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 0.8 | 1.5 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4.8 | 2.1 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.5 / 0 | 2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · AC Horsens 1–3–2 FC Nordsjaelland
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06/26 Europe Friendlies | FC Nordsjaelland | 1-1 HT 0-1 | AC Horsens |
| 28/06/25 Europe Friendlies | FC Nordsjaelland | 2-1 HT 0-0 | AC Horsens |
| 28/10/22 Denmark Superligaen | FC Nordsjaelland | 2-0 HT 1-0 | AC Horsens |
| 16/09/22 Denmark Superligaen | AC Horsens | 1-0 HT 1-0 | FC Nordsjaelland |
| 07/03/21 Denmark Superligaen | FC Nordsjaelland | 2-2 HT 1-1 | AC Horsens |
| 25/10/20 Denmark Superligaen | AC Horsens | 1-1 HT 1-0 | FC Nordsjaelland |
Standings · Denmark Superligaen
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AC Horsens | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | AGF Aarhus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Brondby | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Copenhagen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Midtjylland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Nordsjaelland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Lyngby | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Odense BK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Randers FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Silkeborg IF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sonderjyske | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Viborg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
AC Horsens
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Vendsyssel FF Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 15/07 | AGF Aarhus Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 11/07 | FC Copenhagen Europe Friendlies |
1-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 04/07 | Hobro IK Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 27/06 | FC Nordsjaelland Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 31/05 | Kolding IF Denmark Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 25/05 | Lyngby Denmark Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Hvidovre IF Denmark Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 09/05 | Hillerød Denmark Division 1 |
1-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 30/04 | Esbjerg Denmark Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
FC Nordsjaelland
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Jagiellonia Bialystok Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 17/07 | Sparta Prague Europe Friendlies |
3-1 | 5-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 10/07 | Gornik Zabrze Club Friendly List |
0-2 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 10/07 | Hradec Kralove Europe Friendlies |
0-3 | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 04/07 | Brondby Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 27/06 | AC Horsens Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 17/05 | Sonderjyske Denmark Superligaen |
3-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | Midtjylland Denmark Superligaen |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 01/05 | Brondby Denmark Superligaen |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 26/04 | Viborg Denmark Superligaen |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in AC Horsens vs FC Nordsjaelland?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Nordsjaelland win (49%). Probabilities: AC Horsens 25%, draw 27%, FC Nordsjaelland 49%.
How many goals are expected in AC Horsens vs FC Nordsjaelland?
The model expects 2.7 goals (AC Horsens 1.09 · FC Nordsjaelland 1.61), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in AC Horsens vs FC Nordsjaelland?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.