Prediction: HNK Rijeka vs NK Varazdin
Team pages: HNK Rijeka · NK Varazdin
- NK Varazdin2-0HNK Rijeka
- NK Varazdin1-0HNK Rijeka
- HNK Rijeka3-1NK Varazdin
- NK Varazdin1-0HNK Rijeka
- HNK Rijeka1-2NK Varazdin
- HNK Rijeka1-0NK Varazdin
| HNK Rijeka | Draw | NK Varazdin | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 28% | 20% |
| Market | 53% | 26% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours NK Varazdin: 4-0-2.
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| HNK Rijeka | NK Varazdin | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.4 | 1.3 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.5 | 0.8 / 0 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 50/50/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 6.1 | 3 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.1 | 3.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · HNK Rijeka 2–0–4 NK Varazdin
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08/26 Croatia HNL | NK Varazdin | 2-0 HT 2-0 | HNK Rijeka |
| 22/04/26 Croatia HNL | NK Varazdin | 1-0 HT 0-0 | HNK Rijeka |
| 14/02/26 Croatia HNL | HNK Rijeka | 3-1 HT 1-0 | NK Varazdin |
| 09/11/25 Croatia HNL | NK Varazdin | 1-0 HT 1-0 | HNK Rijeka |
| 24/08/25 Croatia HNL | HNK Rijeka | 1-2 HT 1-1 | NK Varazdin |
| 13/04/25 Croatia HNL | HNK Rijeka | 1-0 HT 0-0 | NK Varazdin |
Standings · Croatia HNL
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hajduk Split | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 23 |
| 2 | Dinamo Zagreb | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 13 | 22 |
| 3 | NK Varazdin | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 10 | 18 |
| 4 | NK Osijek | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 16 | 17 |
| 5 | HNK Rijeka | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 17 |
| 6 | Istra 1961 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 13 |
| 7 | Slaven Belupo | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 23 | 13 |
| 8 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 17 | 11 |
| 9 | NK Rudes | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 27 | 10 |
| 10 | HNK Gorica | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 7 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | HNK Rijeka | NK Varazdin |
|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Zagreb | 1-2 L | 1-3 L |
| NK Rudes | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Slaven Belupo | 1-4 L | 1-2 L |
| Hajduk Split | 3-0 W | 0-1 L |
| NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| NK Osijek | 4-1 W | 0-0 D |
| HNK Gorica | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| Istra 1961 | 3-2 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 2 L | 2 W 3 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: HNK Rijeka (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
HNK Rijeka
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Dinamo Zagreb Croatia HNL |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 16/10 | NK Rudes Croatia HNL |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 11/10 | Slaven Belupo Croatia HNL |
1-1 | 1-4 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 20/09 | Hajduk Split Croatia HNL |
2-0 | 3-0 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 12/09 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Croatia HNL |
0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 5 | D |
| 05/09 | NK Osijek Croatia HNL |
3-1 | 4-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 31/08 | HNK Gorica Croatia HNL |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 23/08 | Istra 1961 Croatia HNL |
2-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 16/08 | NK Varazdin Croatia HNL |
0-2 | 0-2 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 02/08 | NK Rudes Croatia HNL |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
NK Varazdin
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Slaven Belupo Croatia HNL |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 18/10 | Hajduk Split Croatia HNL |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 11/10 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Croatia HNL |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 19/09 | NK Osijek Croatia HNL |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 14/09 | HNK Gorica Croatia HNL |
0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 04/09 | Istra 1961 Croatia HNL |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 29/08 | NK Rudes Croatia HNL |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | Dinamo Zagreb Croatia HNL |
1-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 16/08 | HNK Rijeka Croatia HNL |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 09/08 | Slaven Belupo Croatia HNL |
3-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in HNK Rijeka vs NK Varazdin?
According to our model, the most likely result is a HNK Rijeka win (52%). Probabilities: HNK Rijeka 52%, draw 27%, NK Varazdin 21%.
How many goals are expected in HNK Rijeka vs NK Varazdin?
The model expects 2.4 goals (HNK Rijeka 1.53 · NK Varazdin 0.87), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in HNK Rijeka vs NK Varazdin?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.

