Football · Croatia HNL · 08/11, 15:00

Prediction: NK Osijek vs Hajduk Split

Team pages: NK Osijek · Hajduk Split

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.55Total

NK Osijek0.99

Hajduk Split1.56

1X2

23% 28% 49%

NK Osijek Draw Hajduk Split

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

NK Osijek 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Hajduk Split 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWWLWWDW

Head-to-head

NK Osijek 2–4 Hajduk Split (6 last)

Hajduk Split4-0NK Osijek
Hajduk Split0-1NK Osijek
NK Osijek0-2Hajduk Split
Hajduk Split2-0NK Osijek
NK Osijek0-2Hajduk Split
NK Osijek2-0Hajduk Split

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hajduk Split (rating 1478 vs 1619).
H2H favours Hajduk Split: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	NK Osijek	Hajduk Split
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.6	2.3 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.6	1.1 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	70/20/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 5.2	1.7 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.2	4.2 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.98

Under 2.751.81

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 05:13

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.96 → 3.89▼	Pinn 3.89
X	3.64 → 3.62▼	Pinn 3.62
2	1.86 → 1.88▲	Pinn 1.88

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 6.4%

Time*	1	X	2
00:01 +22’	3.96	3.64	1.86
05:08 +5’	3.89▼	3.62▼	1.88▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · NK Osijek 2–0–4 Hajduk Split

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/08/26 Croatia HNL	Hajduk Split	4-0 HT 1-0	NK Osijek
21/04/26 Croatia HNL	Hajduk Split	0-1 HT 0-0	NK Osijek
15/02/26 Croatia HNL	NK Osijek	0-2 HT 0-1	Hajduk Split
08/11/25 Croatia HNL	Hajduk Split	2-0 HT 1-0	NK Osijek
24/08/25 Croatia HNL	NK Osijek	0-2 HT 0-1	Hajduk Split
27/04/25 Croatia HNL	NK Osijek	2-0 HT 0-0	Hajduk Split

Standings · Croatia HNL

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Hajduk Split	12	8	2	2	26	11	26
2	Dinamo Zagreb	11	7	1	3	25	14	22
3	NK Osijek	12	6	2	4	22	17	20
4	NK Varazdin	12	5	4	3	16	11	19
5	HNK Rijeka	11	5	3	3	18	15	18
6	Istra 1961	12	4	4	4	21	18	16
7	Slaven Belupo	12	4	1	7	14	25	13
8	NK Rudes	12	4	1	7	15	27	13
9	NK Lokomotiva Zagreb	12	3	2	7	14	20	11
10	HNK Gorica	12	1	4	7	7	20	7

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	NK Osijek	Hajduk Split
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb	3-1 W	2-0 W
NK Rudes	0-1 L	4-0 W
HNK Gorica	1-1 D	5-0 W
Istra 1961	1-3 L	2-2 D
NK Varazdin	0-0 D	1-0 W
Dinamo Zagreb	4-2 W	2-1 W
HNK Rijeka	1-4 L	0-3 L
Slaven Belupo	3-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 3 L	6 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Hajduk Split (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

NK Osijek

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Croatia HNL	2-0	3-1	2	5	W
25/10	NK Rudes Croatia HNL	0-0	0-1	7	3	L
17/10	HNK Gorica Croatia HNL	0-1	1-1	11	5	D
10/10	Istra 1961 Croatia HNL	1-1	1-3	10	5	L
19/09	NK Varazdin Croatia HNL	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
12/09	Dinamo Zagreb Croatia HNL	2-0	4-2	2	7	W
05/09	HNK Rijeka Croatia HNL	1-3	1-4	3	2	L
30/08	Slaven Belupo Croatia HNL	2-0	3-0	4	1	W
23/08	Hajduk Split Croatia HNL	0-1	0-4	2	5	L
15/08	NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Croatia HNL	0-0	1-0	9	6	W

Hajduk Split

WWWWWLWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	HNK Gorica Croatia HNL	3-0	5-0	4	4	W
26/10	Istra 1961 Croatia HNL	1-0	2-2	4	6	D
18/10	NK Varazdin Croatia HNL	0-0	1-0	5	4	W
10/10	Dinamo Zagreb Croatia HNL	1-1	2-1	2	4	W
20/09	HNK Rijeka Croatia HNL	0-2	0-3	4	6	L
13/09	Slaven Belupo Croatia HNL	1-0	1-0	3	7	W
06/09	NK Rudes Croatia HNL	2-0	4-0	7	0	W
31/08	NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Croatia HNL	1-0	2-0	7	5	W
23/08	NK Osijek Croatia HNL	1-0	4-0	0	5	W
16/08	HNK Gorica Croatia HNL	1-0	2-1	4	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NK Osijek vs Hajduk Split?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Hajduk Split win (49%). Probabilities: NK Osijek 23%, draw 28%, Hajduk Split 49%.

How many goals are expected in NK Osijek vs Hajduk Split?

The model expects 2.55 goals (NK Osijek 0.99 · Hajduk Split 1.56), with a 56% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in NK Osijek vs Hajduk Split?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.