Football · Croatia HNL · 07/11, 15:00
Prediction: HNK Gorica vs Slaven Belupo
Team pages: HNK Gorica · Slaven Belupo
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.75Total
HNK Gorica1.33
Slaven Belupo1.42
1X2
HNK Gorica
Draw
Slaven Belupo
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
HNK Gorica
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Slaven Belupo
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
HNK Gorica
1–1–4
Slaven Belupo
(6 last)
- Slaven Belupo2-0HNK Gorica
- Slaven Belupo1-0HNK Gorica
- HNK Gorica2-2Slaven Belupo
- Slaven Belupo2-1HNK Gorica
- HNK Gorica2-1Slaven Belupo
- Slaven Belupo4-0HNK Gorica
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Slaven Belupo (rating 1438 vs 1506).
- H2H favours Slaven Belupo: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| HNK Gorica | Slaven Belupo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 1.5 | 1.3 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.8 | 0.4 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4.4 | 2.5 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0 | 3.7 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · HNK Gorica 1–1–4 Slaven Belupo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08/26 Croatia HNL | Slaven Belupo | 2-0 HT 2-0 | HNK Gorica |
| 10/05/26 Croatia HNL | Slaven Belupo | 1-0 HT 0-0 | HNK Gorica |
| 07/03/26 Croatia HNL | HNK Gorica | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Slaven Belupo |
| 05/12/25 Croatia HNL | Slaven Belupo | 2-1 HT 1-1 | HNK Gorica |
| 21/09/25 Croatia HNL | HNK Gorica | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Slaven Belupo |
| 18/05/25 Croatia HNL | Slaven Belupo | 4-0 HT 2-0 | HNK Gorica |
Standings · Croatia HNL
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hajduk Split | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Dinamo Zagreb | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 22 |
| 3 | NK Varazdin | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 10 | 18 |
| 4 | NK Osijek | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 16 | 17 |
| 5 | HNK Rijeka | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 17 |
| 6 | Istra 1961 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 18 | 16 |
| 7 | Slaven Belupo | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 25 | 13 |
| 8 | NK Rudes | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 27 | 13 |
| 9 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 17 | 11 |
| 10 | HNK Gorica | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 7 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | HNK Gorica | Slaven Belupo |
|---|---|---|
| Hajduk Split | 0-5 L | 0-1 L |
| NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| NK Osijek | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| NK Rudes | 1-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Istra 1961 | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| NK Varazdin | 2-2 D | 2-1 W |
| Dinamo Zagreb | 0-1 L | 1-5 L |
| HNK Rijeka | 0-0 D | 4-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 4 D 3 L | 3 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Slaven Belupo (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
HNK Gorica
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Hajduk Split Croatia HNL |
0-3 | 0-5 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 24/10 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Croatia HNL |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 17/10 | NK Osijek Croatia HNL |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 09/10 | NK Rudes Croatia HNL |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 19/09 | Istra 1961 Croatia HNL |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 14/09 | NK Varazdin Croatia HNL |
0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 05/09 | Dinamo Zagreb Croatia HNL |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 31/08 | HNK Rijeka Croatia HNL |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 22/08 | Slaven Belupo Croatia HNL |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 16/08 | Hajduk Split Croatia HNL |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
Slaven Belupo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Istra 1961 Croatia HNL |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 24/10 | NK Varazdin Croatia HNL |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 18/10 | Dinamo Zagreb Croatia HNL |
1-3 | 1-5 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 11/10 | HNK Rijeka Croatia HNL |
1-1 | 4-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 18/09 | NK Rudes Croatia HNL |
0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 13/09 | Hajduk Split Croatia HNL |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 06/09 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Croatia HNL |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 30/08 | NK Osijek Croatia HNL |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 22/08 | HNK Gorica Croatia HNL |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 15/08 | Istra 1961 Croatia HNL |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in HNK Gorica vs Slaven Belupo?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Slaven Belupo win (38%). Probabilities: HNK Gorica 34%, draw 28%, Slaven Belupo 38%.
How many goals are expected in HNK Gorica vs Slaven Belupo?
The model expects 2.75 goals (HNK Gorica 1.33 · Slaven Belupo 1.42), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in HNK Gorica vs Slaven Belupo?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.