Prediction: NK Varazdin vs Dinamo Zagreb
Team pages: NK Varazdin · Dinamo Zagreb
- Dinamo Zagreb3-1NK Varazdin
- Dinamo Zagreb2-1NK Varazdin
- NK Varazdin0-4Dinamo Zagreb
- Dinamo Zagreb3-1NK Varazdin
- NK Varazdin2-2Dinamo Zagreb
- Dinamo Zagreb1-0NK Varazdin
| NK Varazdin | Draw | Dinamo Zagreb | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 16% | 24% | 59% |
| Market | 17% | 23% | 60% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dinamo Zagreb (rating 1489 vs 1589).
- H2H favours Dinamo Zagreb: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| NK Varazdin | Dinamo Zagreb | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 0.9 | 2.3 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.1 | 1.1 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 50/10/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 4 | 2.2 / 6.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.2 | 3.7 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · NK Varazdin 0–1–5 Dinamo Zagreb
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08/26 Croatia HNL | Dinamo Zagreb | 3-1 HT 0-1 | NK Varazdin |
| 26/04/26 Croatia HNL | Dinamo Zagreb | 2-1 HT 0-0 | NK Varazdin |
| 22/02/26 Croatia HNL | NK Varazdin | 0-4 HT 0-0 | Dinamo Zagreb |
| 22/11/25 Croatia HNL | Dinamo Zagreb | 3-1 HT 2-0 | NK Varazdin |
| 30/08/25 Croatia HNL | NK Varazdin | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Dinamo Zagreb |
| 25/05/25 Croatia HNL | Dinamo Zagreb | 1-0 HT 1-0 | NK Varazdin |
Standings · Croatia HNL
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hajduk Split | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Dinamo Zagreb | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 22 |
| 3 | NK Osijek | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 20 |
| 4 | Istra 1961 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 19 | 19 |
| 5 | NK Varazdin | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 19 |
| 6 | HNK Rijeka | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 18 |
| 7 | Slaven Belupo | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 28 | 16 |
| 8 | NK Rudes | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 27 | 16 |
| 9 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 21 | 11 |
| 10 | HNK Gorica | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 25 | 7 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | NK Varazdin | Dinamo Zagreb |
|---|---|---|
| HNK Rijeka | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Slaven Belupo | 1-2 L | 5-1 W |
| Hajduk Split | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 1-0 W | 3-2 W |
| NK Osijek | 0-0 D | 2-4 L |
| HNK Gorica | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| Istra 1961 | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| NK Rudes | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 4 D 2 L | 4 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Dinamo Zagreb (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
NK Varazdin
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | HNK Rijeka Croatia HNL |
0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 7 | D |
| 24/10 | Slaven Belupo Croatia HNL |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 18/10 | Hajduk Split Croatia HNL |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 11/10 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Croatia HNL |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 19/09 | NK Osijek Croatia HNL |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 14/09 | HNK Gorica Croatia HNL |
0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 04/09 | Istra 1961 Croatia HNL |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 29/08 | NK Rudes Croatia HNL |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | Dinamo Zagreb Croatia HNL |
1-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 16/08 | HNK Rijeka Croatia HNL |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
Dinamo Zagreb
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | NK Rudes Croatia HNL |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 27/10 | HNK Rijeka Croatia HNL |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 18/10 | Slaven Belupo Croatia HNL |
3-1 | 5-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 10/10 | Hajduk Split Croatia HNL |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 20/09 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Croatia HNL |
2-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 12/09 | NK Osijek Croatia HNL |
0-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 05/09 | HNK Gorica Croatia HNL |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 29/08 | Istra 1961 Croatia HNL |
1-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 22/08 | NK Varazdin Croatia HNL |
0-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 14/08 | NK Rudes Croatia HNL |
2-0 | 4-0 | 12 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in NK Varazdin vs Dinamo Zagreb?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Dinamo Zagreb win (60%). Probabilities: NK Varazdin 17%, draw 24%, Dinamo Zagreb 60%.
How many goals are expected in NK Varazdin vs Dinamo Zagreb?
The model expects 2.75 goals (NK Varazdin 0.89 · Dinamo Zagreb 1.86), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in NK Varazdin vs Dinamo Zagreb?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.