Football · Croatia HNL · 05/09, 17:00

Prediction: Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Gorica

Team pages: Dinamo Zagreb · HNK Gorica

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.61Total
Dinamo Zagreb2.71
HNK Gorica0.89
1X2
75% 16% 9%
Dinamo Zagreb Draw HNK Gorica
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
2-0 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Dinamo Zagreb 8-2-0 (W-D-L)
WWWWWDWWWD
HNK Gorica 3-0-7 (W-D-L)
WWLLWLLLLL
Head-to-head
Dinamo Zagreb 4–2 HNK Gorica (6 last)
  • HNK Gorica1-2Dinamo Zagreb
  • HNK Gorica3-6Dinamo Zagreb
  • Dinamo Zagreb4-2HNK Gorica
  • HNK Gorica0-2Dinamo Zagreb
  • Dinamo Zagreb1-2HNK Gorica
  • HNK Gorica1-0Dinamo Zagreb
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dinamo Zagreb (rating 1636 vs 1418).
  • H2H favours Dinamo Zagreb: 4-0-2.
  • High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Dinamo ZagrebHNK Gorica
Goals for / against (FT)2.3 / 0.60.8 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.50.5 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/30/30%20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 6.51.6 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.2 / 0.14.3 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Dinamo Zagreb 402 HNK Gorica

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DateHomeScoreAway
02/05/26
Croatia HNL
HNK Gorica1-2
HT 1-1
Dinamo Zagreb
08/04/26
Croatia Cup
HNK Gorica3-6
HT 2-2
Dinamo Zagreb
01/03/26
Croatia HNL
Dinamo Zagreb4-2
HT 2-1
HNK Gorica
01/12/25
Croatia HNL
HNK Gorica0-2
HT 0-1
Dinamo Zagreb
14/09/25
Croatia HNL
Dinamo Zagreb1-2
HT 0-1
HNK Gorica
23/04/25
Croatia HNL
HNK Gorica1-0
HT 0-0
Dinamo Zagreb

Standings · Croatia HNL

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 NK Osijek 5401 12512
2 NK Varazdin 5401 11512
3 Dinamo Zagreb 4310 11310
4 Hajduk Split 5311 11510
5 HNK Rijeka 3201 556
6 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 5203 7106
7 Istra 1961 5122 11105
8 NK Rudes 5104 6153
9 Slaven Belupo 5104 3123
10 HNK Gorica 4004 290

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentDinamo ZagrebHNK Gorica
Istra 1961 2-2 D 1-0 W
Slaven Belupo 2-0 W 0-2 L
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 0-0 D 1-3 L
Hajduk Split 2-0 W 1-2 L
Record vs common 2 W 2 D 0 L 1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Dinamo Zagreb (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dinamo Zagreb

WWWWWDWWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/08 Istra 1961
Croatia HNL
1-2 2-2 84 D
22/08 NK Varazdin
Croatia HNL
0-1 3-1 54 W
14/08 NK Rudes
Croatia HNL
2-0 4-0 124 W
31/07 Slaven Belupo
Croatia HNL
1-0 2-0 102 W
23/05 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Croatia HNL
0-0 0-0 40 D
17/05 Slaven Belupo
Croatia HNL
0-1 4-1 11 W
09/05 Hajduk Split
Croatia HNL
1-0 2-0 34 W
02/05 HNK Gorica
Croatia HNL
1-1 2-1 82 W
26/04 NK Varazdin
Croatia HNL
0-0 2-1 102 W
22/04 Istra 1961
Croatia HNL
2-0 2-0 40 W

HNK Gorica

WWLLWLLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
22/08 Slaven Belupo
Croatia HNL
0-2 0-2 43 L
16/08 Hajduk Split
Croatia HNL
0-1 1-2 34 L
08/08 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Croatia HNL
0-2 1-3 38 L
01/08 NK Osijek
Croatia HNL
0-2 0-2 33 L
23/05 HNK Rijeka
Croatia HNL
0-0 0-2 33 L
16/05 NK Osijek
Croatia HNL
2-0 2-0 44 W
10/05 Slaven Belupo
Croatia HNL
0-0 0-1 24 L
02/05 Dinamo Zagreb
Croatia HNL
1-1 1-2 82 L
27/04 Istra 1961
Croatia HNL
1-0 1-0 116 W
22/04 Vukovar 91
Croatia HNL
1-1 2-1 26 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Gorica?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Dinamo Zagreb win (75%). Probabilities: Dinamo Zagreb 75%, draw 16%, HNK Gorica 9%.

How many goals are expected in Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Gorica?

The model expects 3.61 goals (Dinamo Zagreb 2.71 · HNK Gorica 0.89), with a 52% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Gorica?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.