Prediction: FK Dziugas Telsiai vs FK Kauno Zalgiris
Expected goals: 2.58 (FK Dziugas Telsiai 0.9 · FK Kauno Zalgiris 1.68). The model gives 19% home, 25% draw, 55% away. Under 2.5 goals (51%) and both teams to score (52%). Most likely score: 1-1.
On recent form, FK Dziugas Telsiai is 4-3-3 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and FK Kauno Zalgiris 3-4-3 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, FK Dziugas Telsiai won 1 and FK Kauno Zalgiris 4, with 1 draw.
| FK Dziugas Telsiai | Draw | FK Kauno Zalgiris | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 19% | 26% | 55% |
| Market | 20% | 25% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Kauno Zalgiris (rating 1477 vs 1538).
- H2H favours FK Kauno Zalgiris: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK Dziugas Telsiai | FK Kauno Zalgiris | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.1 | 1.4 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.3 | 0.8 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4.3 | 2.9 / 6.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.1 | 3.5 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Dziugas Telsiai 1–1–4 FK Kauno Zalgiris
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/05/26 Lithuania A Lyga | FK Kauno Zalgiris | 2-2 HT 2-0 | FK Dziugas Telsiai |
| 07/03/26 Lithuania A Lyga | FK Dziugas Telsiai | 1-2 HT 1-1 | FK Kauno Zalgiris |
| 21/09/25 Lithuania A Lyga | FK Kauno Zalgiris | 2-1 HT 2-1 | FK Dziugas Telsiai |
| 17/08/25 Lithuania A Lyga | FK Dziugas Telsiai | 1-2 HT 0-1 | FK Kauno Zalgiris |
| 09/05/25 Lithuania A Lyga | FK Dziugas Telsiai | 0-1 HT 0-0 | FK Kauno Zalgiris |
| 08/03/25 Lithuania A Lyga | FK Kauno Zalgiris | 1-2 HT 1-0 | FK Dziugas Telsiai |
Standings · Lithuania A Lyga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Suduva Marijampole | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 21 | 16 | 29 |
| 2 | FK Dziugas Telsiai | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 22 | 29 |
| 3 | FK Transinvest | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 22 | 28 |
| 4 | FK Kauno Zalgiris | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 31 | 15 | 27 |
| 5 | Banga Gargzdai | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 13 | 27 |
| 6 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 21 | 25 |
| 7 | Hegelmann Litauen | 18 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 28 | 18 |
| 8 | Panevezys | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 33 | 18 |
| 9 | FK Siauliai | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 34 | 13 |
| 10 | FK Riteriai | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FK Dziugas Telsiai | FK Kauno Zalgiris |
|---|---|---|
| FK Zalgiris Vilnius | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| FK Siauliai | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Suduva Marijampole | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Hegelmann Litauen | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Panevezys | 4-0 W | 1-1 D |
| FK Transinvest | 3-2 W | 2-1 W |
| Banga Gargzdai | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| FK Riteriai | 1-0 W | 4-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 3 D 2 L | 2 W 3 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: FK Dziugas Telsiai (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FK Dziugas Telsiai
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 24/06 | FK Siauliai Lithuania Cup |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 21/06 | Suduva Marijampole Lithuania A Lyga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 17/06 | Hegelmann Litauen Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 12/06 | FK Siauliai Lithuania A Lyga |
2-0 | 4-3 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 30/05 | Panevezys Lithuania A Lyga |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 24/05 | FK Transinvest Lithuania A Lyga |
1-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 20/05 | Banga Gargzdai Lithuania Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 16/05 | Banga Gargzdai Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 09/05 | FK Riteriai Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
FK Kauno Zalgiris
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | BFA Vilnius Lithuania Cup |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 20/06 | FK Transinvest Lithuania A Lyga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 12 | 4 | W |
| 17/06 | Banga Gargzdai Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 14/06 | Hegelmann Litauen Lithuania A Lyga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 31/05 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 23/05 | Suduva Marijampole Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 19/05 | FK Riteriai Lithuania Cup |
3-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | FK Siauliai Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 2 | D |
| 10/05 | Panevezys Lithuania A Lyga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 05/05 | FK Dziugas Telsiai Lithuania A Lyga |
2-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FK Dziugas Telsiai vs FK Kauno Zalgiris?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FK Kauno Zalgiris win (55%). Probabilities: FK Dziugas Telsiai 19%, draw 25%, FK Kauno Zalgiris 55%.
How many goals are expected in FK Dziugas Telsiai vs FK Kauno Zalgiris?
The model expects 2.58 goals (FK Dziugas Telsiai 0.9 · FK Kauno Zalgiris 1.68), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in FK Dziugas Telsiai vs FK Kauno Zalgiris?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.