Prediction: Panevezys vs Hegelmann Litauen
Expected goals: 2.75 (Panevezys 1.48 · Hegelmann Litauen 1.27). The model gives 41% home, 27% draw, 32% away. Over 2.5 goals (52%) and both teams to score (54%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves Panevezys with 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses over 10 games; Hegelmann Litauen has piled up 2-4-4 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 2 wins for Panevezys and 3 for Hegelmann Litauen, with 1 draw.
| Panevezys | Draw | Hegelmann Litauen | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 28% | 31% |
| Market | 41% | 27% | 32% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Hegelmann Litauen: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Panevezys | Hegelmann Litauen | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.9 | 1.2 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1.1 | 0.7 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/0/60% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4 | 1.9 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.2 | 4.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Panevezys 2–1–3 Hegelmann Litauen
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/05/26 Lithuania A Lyga | Hegelmann Litauen | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Panevezys |
| 07/03/26 Lithuania A Lyga | Panevezys | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Hegelmann Litauen |
| 28/09/25 Lithuania Cup | Panevezys | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Hegelmann Litauen |
| 21/09/25 Lithuania A Lyga | Panevezys | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Hegelmann Litauen |
| 17/08/25 Lithuania A Lyga | Hegelmann Litauen | 3-1 HT 3-1 | Panevezys |
| 10/05/25 Lithuania A Lyga | Panevezys | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Hegelmann Litauen |
Standings · Lithuania A Lyga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Suduva Marijampole | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 21 | 16 | 29 |
| 2 | FK Dziugas Telsiai | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 22 | 29 |
| 3 | FK Transinvest | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 22 | 28 |
| 4 | FK Kauno Zalgiris | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 31 | 15 | 27 |
| 5 | Banga Gargzdai | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 13 | 27 |
| 6 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 21 | 25 |
| 7 | Hegelmann Litauen | 18 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 28 | 18 |
| 8 | Panevezys | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 33 | 18 |
| 9 | FK Siauliai | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 34 | 13 |
| 10 | FK Riteriai | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Panevezys | Hegelmann Litauen |
|---|---|---|
| Suduva Marijampole | 1-2 L | 2-2 D |
| FK Siauliai | 3-2 W | 1-1 D |
| FK Zalgiris Vilnius | 0-3 L | 3-1 W |
| FK Transinvest | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| FK Dziugas Telsiai | 0-4 L | 1-1 D |
| Banga Gargzdai | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| FK Kauno Zalgiris | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 4 L | 1 W 4 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Hegelmann Litauen (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Panevezys
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Suduva Marijampole Lithuania A Lyga |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 23/06 | FK Minija Lithuania Cup |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 10 | L |
| 20/06 | FK Siauliai Lithuania A Lyga |
2-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 16/06 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius Lithuania A Lyga |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 12/06 | FK Transinvest Lithuania A Lyga |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 30/05 | FK Dziugas Telsiai Lithuania A Lyga |
0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 24/05 | Banga Gargzdai Lithuania A Lyga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 20/05 | FK Atmosfera Lithuania Cup |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | FK Kauno Zalgiris Lithuania A Lyga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 06/05 | Hegelmann Litauen Lithuania A Lyga |
1-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
Hegelmann Litauen
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Banga Gargzdai Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 17/06 | FK Dziugas Telsiai Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 14/06 | FK Kauno Zalgiris Lithuania A Lyga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 29/05 | FK Transinvest Lithuania A Lyga |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius Lithuania A Lyga |
2-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 20/05 | FK Transinvest Lithuania Cup |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 16/05 | Suduva Marijampole Lithuania A Lyga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 09/05 | FK Siauliai Lithuania A Lyga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 06/05 | Panevezys Lithuania A Lyga |
2-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 01/05 | FK Dziugas Telsiai Lithuania A Lyga |
0-2 | 0-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Panevezys vs Hegelmann Litauen?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Panevezys win (41%). Probabilities: Panevezys 41%, draw 27%, Hegelmann Litauen 32%.
How many goals are expected in Panevezys vs Hegelmann Litauen?
The model expects 2.75 goals (Panevezys 1.48 · Hegelmann Litauen 1.27), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Panevezys vs Hegelmann Litauen?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.