Football · Lithuania A Lyga · 19/09, 18:30
Prediction: FK Transinvest vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Team pages: FK Transinvest · FK Zalgiris Vilnius
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Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.9Total
FK Transinvest1.29
FK Zalgiris Vilnius1.61
1X2
FK Transinvest
Draw
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
FK Transinvest
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FK Transinvest
2–4
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
(6 last)
- FK Zalgiris Vilnius3-1FK Transinvest
- FK Transinvest1-0FK Zalgiris Vilnius
- FK Zalgiris Vilnius1-2FK Transinvest
- FK Transinvest0-1FK Zalgiris Vilnius
- FK Zalgiris Vilnius2-0FK Transinvest
- FK Transinvest1-3FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FK Transinvest 1518 · FK Zalgiris Vilnius 1512
| FK Transinvest | Draw | FK Zalgiris Vilnius | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 27% | 44% |
| Market | 31% | 25% | 45% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.9 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours FK Zalgiris Vilnius: 4-0-2.
- High corners: 12.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK Transinvest | FK Zalgiris Vilnius | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.3 | 1.7 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 10/80/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 4.9 | 3 / 7.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.2 | 3.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Transinvest 2–0–4 FK Zalgiris Vilnius
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07/26 Lithuania A Lyga | FK Zalgiris Vilnius | 3-1 HT 2-0 | FK Transinvest |
| 17/05/26 Lithuania A Lyga | FK Transinvest | 1-0 HT 1-0 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius |
| 16/03/26 Lithuania A Lyga | FK Zalgiris Vilnius | 1-2 HT 1-1 | FK Transinvest |
| 26/10/24 Lithuania A Lyga | FK Transinvest | 0-1 HT 0-0 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius |
| 14/08/24 Lithuania A Lyga | FK Zalgiris Vilnius | 2-0 HT 1-0 | FK Transinvest |
| 02/06/24 Lithuania A Lyga | FK Transinvest | 1-3 HT 0-1 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius |
Standings · Lithuania A Lyga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Suduva Marijampole | 27 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 38 | 24 | 49 |
| 2 | FK Kauno Zalgiris | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 54 | 20 | 48 |
| 3 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 41 | 31 | 44 |
| 4 | FK Transinvest | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 40 | 35 | 42 |
| 5 | Banga Gargzdai | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 32 | 28 | 41 |
| 6 | FK Dziugas Telsiai | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 36 | 40 | 38 |
| 7 | Panevezys | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 29 | 43 | 32 |
| 8 | Hegelmann Litauen | 28 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 30 | 47 | 25 |
| 9 | FK Siauliai | 28 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 24 | 56 | 17 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FK Transinvest | FK Zalgiris Vilnius |
|---|---|---|
| Banga Gargzdai | 3-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Suduva Marijampole | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| FK Siauliai | 3-0 W | 1-0 W |
| FK Kauno Zalgiris | 1-1 D | 3-2 W |
| Panevezys | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Hegelmann Litauen | 2-1 W | 3-2 W |
| FK Dziugas Telsiai | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 2 L | 4 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: FK Zalgiris Vilnius (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FK Transinvest
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Banga Gargzdai Lithuania A Lyga |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 06/09 | Suduva Marijampole Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 24/08 | FK Siauliai Lithuania A Lyga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 16/08 | FK Kauno Zalgiris Lithuania A Lyga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 10/08 | Panevezys Lithuania A Lyga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 02/08 | Hegelmann Litauen Lithuania A Lyga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 26/07 | FK Dziugas Telsiai Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 19/07 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius Lithuania A Lyga |
0-2 | 1-3 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 12/07 | Banga Gargzdai Lithuania A Lyga |
1-1 | 1-3 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 06/07 | Suduva Marijampole Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | FK Kauno Zalgiris Lithuania A Lyga |
2-2 | 3-2 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 13/09 | Suduva Marijampole Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 06/09 | FK Siauliai Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 13 | 3 | W |
| 30/08 | Panevezys Lithuania A Lyga |
0-2 | 0-2 | 15 | 4 | L |
| 23/08 | FK Dziugas Telsiai Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 16/08 | Banga Gargzdai Lithuania A Lyga |
1-1 | 2-3 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 27/07 | Hegelmann Litauen Lithuania A Lyga |
1-1 | 3-2 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 19/07 | FK Transinvest Lithuania A Lyga |
2-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 05/07 | FK Siauliai Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 28/06 | FK Dziugas Telsiai Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FK Transinvest vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FK Zalgiris Vilnius win (44%). Probabilities: FK Transinvest 30%, draw 26%, FK Zalgiris Vilnius 44%.
How many goals are expected in FK Transinvest vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius?
The model expects 2.9 goals (FK Transinvest 1.29 · FK Zalgiris Vilnius 1.61), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in FK Transinvest vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.