Football · Iceland Premier League Women · 21/08, 20:00

Prediction: FH Hafnarfjordur (W) vs Vikingur Reykjavik (W)

Team pages: FH Hafnarfjordur (W) · Vikingur Reykjavik (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.34Total

FH Hafnarfjordur (W)3.08

Vikingur Reykjavik (W)1.26

1X2

73% 15% 12%

FH Hafnarfjordur (W) Draw Vikingur Reykjavik (W)

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

3-1

Recent form · 10 last

FH Hafnarfjordur (W) 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WWDDWWWDWL

Vikingur Reykjavik (W) 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

WLLDLLLDLL

Head-to-head

FH Hafnarfjordur (W) 3–1–2 Vikingur Reykjavik (W) (6 last)

Vikingur Reykjavik (W)2-5FH Hafnarfjordur (W)
FH Hafnarfjordur (W)3-2Vikingur Reykjavik (W)
FH Hafnarfjordur (W)1-2Vikingur Reykjavik (W)
Vikingur Reykjavik (W)1-4FH Hafnarfjordur (W)
Vikingur Reykjavik (W)1-1FH Hafnarfjordur (W)
FH Hafnarfjordur (W)0-3Vikingur Reykjavik (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FH Hafnarfjordur (W) 1568 · Vikingur Reykjavik (W) 1411

	FH Hafnarfjordur (W)	Draw	Vikingur Reykjavik (W)
Our model	73%	15%	12%
Market	73%	15%	12%

Estimated total (ours) 4.34 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FH Hafnarfjordur (W) (rating 1568 vs 1411).
H2H favours FH Hafnarfjordur (W): 3-1-2.
High corners: 14.4 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FH Hafnarfjordur (W)	Vikingur Reykjavik (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	4.2 / 2.3	1.3 / 2.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1.8 / 1.2	0.6 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/20/20%	10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 7.6	3.1 / 6.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.5 / 0	1.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.22

X6.00

27.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2)1.90

2 (+2)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 41.95

Under 41.85

Diff.: 1.15 · xG: 5.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:50

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.22 → 1.22	Bet365 1.22
X	6.00 → 6.00	Bet365 6.00
2	7.50 → 7.50	Bet365 7.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
04:44 +6’	1.22	6.00	7.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FH Hafnarfjordur (W) 3–1–2 Vikingur Reykjavik (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/06/26 Iceland Premier League Women	Vikingur Reykjavik (W)	2-5 HT 1-2	FH Hafnarfjordur (W)
11/10/25 Iceland Premier League Women	FH Hafnarfjordur (W)	3-2 HT 1-0	Vikingur Reykjavik (W)
12/09/25 Iceland Premier League Women	FH Hafnarfjordur (W)	1-2 HT 1-1	Vikingur Reykjavik (W)
07/06/25 Iceland Premier League Women	Vikingur Reykjavik (W)	1-4 HT 0-2	FH Hafnarfjordur (W)
14/02/25 Iceland Cup Women	Vikingur Reykjavik (W)	1-1 HT 0-0	FH Hafnarfjordur (W)
12/09/24 Iceland Premier League Women	FH Hafnarfjordur (W)	0-3 HT 0-2	Vikingur Reykjavik (W)

Standings · Iceland Premier League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Breidablik (W)	15	12	0	3	44	16	36
2	FH Hafnarfjordur (W)	15	10	3	2	52	28	33
3	IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)	15	7	3	5	26	28	24
4	Stjarnan (W)	15	6	5	4	26	22	23
5	Grindavik/Njardvik (W)	15	5	4	6	20	26	19
6	Thor/KA Akureyri (W)	15	5	3	7	23	25	18
7	Throttur Reykjavik (W)	15	5	3	7	21	25	18
8	Fram Reykjavik (W)	15	5	1	9	22	35	16
9	Valur Reykjavik (W)	15	3	4	8	15	28	13
10	Vikingur Reykjavik (W)	15	3	2	10	21	37	11

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FH Hafnarfjordur (W)	Vikingur Reykjavik (W)
Breidablik (W)	0-3 L	1-4 L
Fram Reykjavik (W)	6-4 W	1-2 L
IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)	2-2 D	1-3 L
Grindavik/Njardvik (W)	6-1 W	1-1 D
Throttur Reykjavik (W)	7-3 W	1-1 D
Valur Reykjavik (W)	1-1 D	0-1 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 1 L	0 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: FH Hafnarfjordur (W) (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

FH Hafnarfjordur (W)

WWDDWWWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Breidablik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	0-2	0-3	1	2	L
12/08	Fram Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	2-1	6-4	4	2	W
29/07	IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Premier League Women	2-0	2-2	3	4	D
21/07	Stjarnan (W) Iceland Premier League Women	4-1	7-3	8	1	W
16/07	Grindavik/Njardvik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	2-1	6-1	11	1	W
09/07	Throttur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	3-2	7-3	7	1	W
23/06	Valur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	1-1	1-1	7	3	D
17/06	IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Cup Women	1-1	2-2	19	0	D
13/06	Vikingur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	2-1	5-2	9	0	W
30/05	Fram Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	1-2	6-2	7	1	W

Vikingur Reykjavik (W)

WLLDLLLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/08	Thor/KA Akureyri (W) Iceland Premier League Women	0-2	0-3	11	3	L
07/08	Valur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	0-1	0-1	6	2	L
28/07	Throttur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	0-1	1-1	4	2	D
19/07	Fram Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	0-1	1-2	10	1	L
15/07	Breidablik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	0-0	1-4	5	0	L
09/07	IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Premier League Women	1-2	1-3	8	0	L
23/06	Grindavik/Njardvik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	0-0	1-1	3	0	D
18/06	Throttur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Cup Women	0-0	0-1	7	2	L
13/06	FH Hafnarfjordur (W) Iceland Premier League Women	1-2	2-5	4	0	L
30/05	Thor/KA Akureyri (W) Iceland Premier League Women	4-0	6-4	10	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FH Hafnarfjordur (W) vs Vikingur Reykjavik (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FH Hafnarfjordur (W) win (73%). Probabilities: FH Hafnarfjordur (W) 73%, draw 15%, Vikingur Reykjavik (W) 12%.

How many goals are expected in FH Hafnarfjordur (W) vs Vikingur Reykjavik (W)?

The model expects 4.34 goals (FH Hafnarfjordur (W) 3.08 · Vikingur Reykjavik (W) 1.26), with a 51% chance of over 4 goals.

Will both teams score in FH Hafnarfjordur (W) vs Vikingur Reykjavik (W)?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.