Football · Iceland Premier League Women · 20/08, 21:15
Prediction: Stjarnan (W) vs Breidablik (W)
Team pages: Stjarnan (W) · Breidablik (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.87Total
Stjarnan (W)1.3
Breidablik (W)2.57
1X2
Stjarnan (W)
Draw
Breidablik (W)
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-2
Recent form · 10 last
Stjarnan (W)
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Breidablik (W)
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Stjarnan (W)
2–4
Breidablik (W)
(6 last)
- Breidablik (W)1-3Stjarnan (W)
- Stjarnan (W)1-6Breidablik (W)
- Breidablik (W)1-2Stjarnan (W)
- Stjarnan (W)0-3Breidablik (W)
- Breidablik (W)6-1Stjarnan (W)
- Breidablik (W)5-1Stjarnan (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Stjarnan (W) 1513 · Breidablik (W) 1570
| Stjarnan (W) | Draw | Breidablik (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 17% | 19% | 64% |
| Market | 17% | 19% | 64% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.87 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Breidablik (W) (rating 1513 vs 1570).
- H2H favours Breidablik (W): 4-0-2.
- High corners: 14.1 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Stjarnan (W) | Breidablik (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.6 | 2.6 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 1.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 60/20/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 6.4 | 4.1 / 7.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0 | 2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Stjarnan (W) 2–0–4 Breidablik (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06/26 Iceland Premier League Women | Breidablik (W) | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Stjarnan (W) |
| 20/03/26 Iceland Cup Women | Stjarnan (W) | 1-6 HT 1-3 | Breidablik (W) |
| 25/09/25 Iceland Premier League Women | Breidablik (W) | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Stjarnan (W) |
| 21/06/25 Iceland Premier League Women | Stjarnan (W) | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Breidablik (W) |
| 15/04/25 Iceland Premier League Women | Breidablik (W) | 6-1 HT 5-1 | Stjarnan (W) |
| 14/02/25 Iceland Cup Women | Breidablik (W) | 5-1 HT 2-1 | Stjarnan (W) |
Standings · Iceland Premier League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Breidablik (W) | 15 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 44 | 16 | 36 |
| 2 | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 52 | 28 | 33 |
| 3 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 28 | 24 |
| 4 | Stjarnan (W) | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 23 |
| 5 | Grindavik/Njardvik (W) | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 26 | 19 |
| 6 | Thor/KA Akureyri (W) | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 25 | 18 |
| 7 | Throttur Reykjavik (W) | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 25 | 18 |
| 8 | Fram Reykjavik (W) | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 35 | 16 |
| 9 | Valur Reykjavik (W) | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 28 | 13 |
| 10 | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 21 | 37 | 11 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Stjarnan (W) | Breidablik (W) |
|---|---|---|
| IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) | 2-3 L | 3-0 W |
| Grindavik/Njardvik (W) | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| FH Hafnarfjordur (W) | 3-7 L | 3-0 W |
| Thor/KA Akureyri (W) | 3-2 W | 2-0 W |
| Valur Reykjavik (W) | 1-1 D | 7-1 W |
| Fram Reykjavik (W) | 3-0 W | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 2 L | 5 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Breidablik (W) (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stjarnan (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 06/08 | Throttur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 28/07 | Grindavik/Njardvik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 21/07 | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-4 | 3-7 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 14/07 | Thor/KA Akureyri (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 10/07 | Valur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 22/06 | Fram Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 18/06 | Grindavik/Njardvik (W) Iceland Cup Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 13/06 | Breidablik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
Breidablik (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 12/08 | Grindavik/Njardvik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 07/08 | Dinamo-BGU (W) UEFA Women's Champions League Qualifying |
0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 04/08 | FK Aktobe (W) UEFA Women's Champions League Qualifying |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 29/07 | Thor/KA Akureyri (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 21/07 | Valur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
6-0 | 7-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 15/07 | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 4-1 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 09/07 | Fram Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
2-1 | 2-3 | 10 | 1 | L |
| 22/06 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
3-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 13/06 | Stjarnan (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stjarnan (W) vs Breidablik (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Breidablik (W) win (64%). Probabilities: Stjarnan (W) 17%, draw 19%, Breidablik (W) 64%.
How many goals are expected in Stjarnan (W) vs Breidablik (W)?
The model expects 3.87 goals (Stjarnan (W) 1.3 · Breidablik (W) 2.57), with a 53% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Stjarnan (W) vs Breidablik (W)?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.