Prediction: Vancouver Whitecaps vs Cavalry FC
Expected goals: 2.71 (Vancouver Whitecaps 1.8 · Cavalry FC 0.91). The model gives 58% home, 24% draw, 18% away. Under 2.75 goals (54%) and both teams to score (52%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves Vancouver Whitecaps with 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses over 10 games; Cavalry FC has piled up 7-2-1 in the same span. In the last 5 head-to-head meetings the record reads 1 wins for Vancouver Whitecaps and 2 for Cavalry FC, with 2 draws.
| Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | Cavalry FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 25% | 18% |
| Market | 59% | 22% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cavalry FC (rating 1553 vs 1594).
- H2H favours Cavalry FC: 2-2-1.
- High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Vancouver Whitecaps | Cavalry FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.1 | 2 / 0.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 30/70/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 5.5 | 2.5 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.2 | 4.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Vancouver Whitecaps 1–2–2 Cavalry FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/05/24 Canada Championships | Vancouver Whitecaps | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Cavalry FC |
| 08/05/24 Canada Championships | Cavalry FC | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Vancouver Whitecaps |
| 26/05/22 Canada Championships | Cavalry FC | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Vancouver Whitecaps |
| 25/07/19 Canada Championships | Vancouver Whitecaps | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Cavalry FC |
| 11/07/19 Canada Championships | Cavalry FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Vancouver Whitecaps |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vancouver Whitecaps
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05 | San Diego FC USA MLS |
2-0 | 4-2 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 17/05 | Houston Dynamo USA MLS |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 14/05 | FC Dallas USA MLS |
2-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 10/05 | San Jose Earthquakes USA MLS |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 03/05 | LA Galaxy USA MLS |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 10 | D |
| 26/04 | Colorado Rapids USA MLS |
2-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 18/04 | Sporting Kansas City USA MLS |
3-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 12/04 | New York City FC USA MLS |
1-0 | 2-0 | 12 | 2 | W |
| 05/04 | Portland Timbers USA MLS |
1-2 | 3-2 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 22/03 | San Jose Earthquakes USA MLS |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
Cavalry FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League |
3-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/06 | Inter Toronto Canada Premier League |
2-0 | 5-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 07/06 | HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 31/05 | Forge FC Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 24/05 | Pacific FC (CA) Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 18/05 | Vancouver FC Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 10/05 | Pacific FC (CA) Canada Championships |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 03/05 | Supra du Quebec Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 25/04 | Inter Toronto Canada Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 13 | 6 | D |
| 18/04 | Forge FC Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vancouver Whitecaps vs Cavalry FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Vancouver Whitecaps win (58%). Probabilities: Vancouver Whitecaps 58%, draw 24%, Cavalry FC 18%.
How many goals are expected in Vancouver Whitecaps vs Cavalry FC?
The model expects 2.71 goals (Vancouver Whitecaps 1.8 · Cavalry FC 0.91), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Vancouver Whitecaps vs Cavalry FC?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.