Football · Canada Championships · 14/07, 03:30
Prediction: Cavalry FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.82Total
Cavalry FC1.15
Vancouver Whitecaps1.67
1X2
Cavalry FC
Draw
Vancouver Whitecaps
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Cavalry FC
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Vancouver Whitecaps
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Cavalry FC
2–2–2
Vancouver Whitecaps
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cavalry FC 1581 · Vancouver Whitecaps 1577
| Cavalry FC | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 25% | 27% | 48% |
| Market | 26% | 26% | 49% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.82 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cavalry FC | Vancouver Whitecaps | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 0.8 | 2.4 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.2 | 1.2 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/70/0% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5 | 3.5 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.1 | 4.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cavalry FC 2–2–2 Vancouver Whitecaps
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07/26 Canada Championships | Vancouver Whitecaps | 4-1 HT 1-1 | Cavalry FC |
| 22/05/24 Canada Championships | Vancouver Whitecaps | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Cavalry FC |
| 08/05/24 Canada Championships | Cavalry FC | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Vancouver Whitecaps |
| 26/05/22 Canada Championships | Cavalry FC | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Vancouver Whitecaps |
| 25/07/19 Canada Championships | Vancouver Whitecaps | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Cavalry FC |
| 11/07/19 Canada Championships | Cavalry FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Vancouver Whitecaps |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cavalry FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Vancouver Whitecaps Canada Championships |
1-1 | 1-4 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 04/07 | Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League |
3-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/06 | Inter Toronto Canada Premier League |
2-0 | 5-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 07/06 | HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 31/05 | Forge FC Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 24/05 | Pacific FC (CA) Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 18/05 | Vancouver FC Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 10/05 | Pacific FC (CA) Canada Championships |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 03/05 | Supra du Quebec Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 25/04 | Inter Toronto Canada Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 13 | 6 | D |
Vancouver Whitecaps
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Cavalry FC Canada Championships |
1-1 | 4-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 24/05 | San Diego FC USA MLS |
2-0 | 4-2 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 17/05 | Houston Dynamo USA MLS |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 14/05 | FC Dallas USA MLS |
2-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 10/05 | San Jose Earthquakes USA MLS |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 03/05 | LA Galaxy USA MLS |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 10 | D |
| 26/04 | Colorado Rapids USA MLS |
2-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 18/04 | Sporting Kansas City USA MLS |
3-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 12/04 | New York City FC USA MLS |
1-0 | 2-0 | 12 | 2 | W |
| 05/04 | Portland Timbers USA MLS |
1-2 | 3-2 | 7 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cavalry FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Vancouver Whitecaps win (48%). Probabilities: Cavalry FC 26%, draw 26%, Vancouver Whitecaps 48%.
How many goals are expected in Cavalry FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps?
The model expects 2.82 goals (Cavalry FC 1.15 · Vancouver Whitecaps 1.67), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Cavalry FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.