Football · Canada Championships · 13/07, 01:30
Prediction: CF Montreal vs Vancouver FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.04Total
CF Montreal2.2
Vancouver FC0.84
1X2
CF Montreal
Draw
Vancouver FC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
CF Montreal
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Vancouver FC
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CF Montreal
1–0
Vancouver FC
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CF Montreal 1521 · Vancouver FC 1496
| CF Montreal | Draw | Vancouver FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 20% | 12% |
| Market | 69% | 18% | 13% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.04 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CF Montreal | Vancouver FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1.5 | 1.7 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.6 | 0.9 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 6 | 2.8 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.2 / 0.2 | 3.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CF Montreal 1–0–0 Vancouver FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07/26 Canada Championships | Vancouver FC | 1-2 HT 0-0 | CF Montreal |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CF Montreal
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Vancouver FC Canada Championships |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 24/05 | DC United USA MLS |
1-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 16/05 | Chicago Fire USA MLS |
0-1 | 0-2 | 16 | 7 | L |
| 14/05 | Portland Timbers USA MLS |
2-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 09/05 | Orlando City SC USA MLS |
0-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 07/05 | Calgary Blizzard SC Canada Championships |
2-0 | 5-0 | 11 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | Atlanta United USA MLS |
1-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 25/04 | New York City FC USA MLS |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 18/04 | New York Red Bulls USA MLS |
2-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 11/04 | Philadelphia Union USA MLS |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
Vancouver FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | CF Montreal Canada Championships |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 05/07 | Inter Toronto Canada Premier League |
4-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 01/07 | Forge FC Canada Premier League |
2-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 15/06 | Pacific FC (CA) Canada Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 06/06 | Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 30/05 | HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 24/05 | Supra du Quebec Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 18/05 | Cavalry FC Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 11/05 | Langley United Sa Canada Championships |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 04/05 | Pacific FC (CA) Canada Premier League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CF Montreal vs Vancouver FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CF Montreal win (68%). Probabilities: CF Montreal 68%, draw 19%, Vancouver FC 13%.
How many goals are expected in CF Montreal vs Vancouver FC?
The model expects 3.04 goals (CF Montreal 2.2 · Vancouver FC 0.84), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in CF Montreal vs Vancouver FC?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.