Prediction: Vancouver FC vs CF Montreal
Expected goals: 3.09 (Vancouver FC 1.29 · CF Montreal 1.8). The model gives 26% home, 26% draw, 48% away. Over 2.5 goals (53%) and both teams to score (56%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, Vancouver FC sits at 5-2-3 (W-D-L), while CF Montreal arrives on a 4-2-4 run.
| Vancouver FC | Draw | CF Montreal | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 27% | 25% | 48% |
| Market | 26% | 27% | 48% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- High corners: 12.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Vancouver FC | CF Montreal | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.1 | 2 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.1 | 1 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 50/10/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 6 | 1.9 / 6.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0 | 5.4 / 0.2 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vancouver FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Inter Toronto Canada Premier League |
4-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 01/07 | Forge FC Canada Premier League |
2-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 15/06 | Pacific FC (CA) Canada Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 06/06 | Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 30/05 | HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 24/05 | Supra du Quebec Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 18/05 | Cavalry FC Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 11/05 | Langley United Sa Canada Championships |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 04/05 | Pacific FC (CA) Canada Premier League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
CF Montreal
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05 | DC United USA MLS |
1-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 16/05 | Chicago Fire USA MLS |
0-1 | 0-2 | 16 | 7 | L |
| 14/05 | Portland Timbers USA MLS |
2-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 09/05 | Orlando City SC USA MLS |
0-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 07/05 | Calgary Blizzard SC Canada Championships |
2-0 | 5-0 | 11 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | Atlanta United USA MLS |
1-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 25/04 | New York City FC USA MLS |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 18/04 | New York Red Bulls USA MLS |
2-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 11/04 | Philadelphia Union USA MLS |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 04/04 | New England Revolution USA MLS |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vancouver FC vs CF Montreal?
According to our model, the most likely result is an CF Montreal win (48%). Probabilities: Vancouver FC 26%, draw 26%, CF Montreal 48%.
How many goals are expected in Vancouver FC vs CF Montreal?
The model expects 3.09 goals (Vancouver FC 1.29 · CF Montreal 1.8), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Vancouver FC vs CF Montreal?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.