Prediction: O'Higgins vs Colo Colo
Expected goals: 2.85 (O'Higgins 1.14 · Colo Colo 1.7). The model gives 25% home, 26% draw, 50% away. Under 2.75 goals (51%) and both teams to score (55%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves O'Higgins with 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses over 10 games; Colo Colo has piled up 8-0-2 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 1 wins for O'Higgins and 4 for Colo Colo, with 1 draw.
| O'Higgins | Draw | Colo Colo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 24% | 26% | 49% |
| Market | 25% | 25% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Colo Colo (rating 1465 vs 1598).
- H2H favours Colo Colo: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| O'Higgins | Colo Colo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.6 | 2.7 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.9 | 1.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/20/60% | 60/10/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.4 | 3 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.4 | 3.1 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · O'Higgins 1–1–4 Colo Colo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06/26 Chile Cup | Colo Colo | 3-2 HT 2-0 | O'Higgins |
| 21/02/26 Chile Liga de Primera | O'Higgins | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Colo Colo |
| 27/07/25 Chile Liga de Primera | O'Higgins | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Colo Colo |
| 25/02/25 Chile Liga de Primera | Colo Colo | 0-1 HT 0-0 | O'Higgins |
| 27/07/24 Chile Liga de Primera | Colo Colo | 2-1 HT 0-0 | O'Higgins |
| 30/06/24 Chile Cup | Colo Colo | 3-1 HT 1-1 | O'Higgins |
Standings · Chile Cup · Copa Chile 2026, Group E
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | Deportes Recoleta | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| 2 | Union Espanola | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| 4 | O'Higgins | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | O'Higgins | Colo Colo |
|---|---|---|
| Deportes Recoleta | 1-1 D | 3-0 W |
| Union Espanola | 1-1 D | 3-0 W |
| Coquimbo Unido | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 3 D 0 L | 2 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Colo Colo (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
O'Higgins
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 8 | D |
| 26/06 | Colo Colo Chile Cup |
0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 22/06 | Union Espanola Chile Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 19/06 | Universidad de Chile Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 13/06 | Coquimbo Unido Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 08/06 | Palestino Chile Copa de la Liga |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 31/05 | Everton de Vina Chile Liga de Primera |
1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 27/05 | Millonarios Copa Sudamericana |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 21/05 | Boston River Copa Sudamericana |
0-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | Universidad de Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 0-1 | 16 | 6 | L |
Colo Colo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Union Espanola Chile Cup |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 26/06 | O'Higgins Chile Cup |
2-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 20/06 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Cup |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | Cobresal Chile Liga de Primera |
3-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 07/06 | Huachipato Chile Copa de la Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 30/05 | La Serena Chile Liga de Primera |
1-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 25/05 | Universidad Catolica Chile Liga de Primera |
2-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 17/05 | Nublense Chile Liga de Primera |
2-1 | 6-2 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 14/05 | Coquimbo Unido Chile Copa de la Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 09/05 | Deportes Concepcion Chile Copa de la Liga |
0-1 | 3-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in O'Higgins vs Colo Colo?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Colo Colo win (50%). Probabilities: O'Higgins 25%, draw 26%, Colo Colo 50%.
How many goals are expected in O'Higgins vs Colo Colo?
The model expects 2.85 goals (O'Higgins 1.14 · Colo Colo 1.7), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in O'Higgins vs Colo Colo?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.