Prediction: Magallanes vs Palestino
Expected goals: 3.11 (Magallanes 1.15 · Palestino 1.96). The model gives 21% home, 25% draw, 55% away. Over 3 goals (51%) and both teams to score (56%). Most likely score: 1-1.
On recent form, Magallanes is 3-1-6 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Palestino 3-3-4 over its own. In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Magallanes won 2 and Palestino 3.
| Magallanes | Draw | Palestino | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 21% | 24% | 55% |
| Market | 20% | 25% | 55% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Palestino: 3-0-2.
- High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 10.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Magallanes | Palestino | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 2.1 | 1.3 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.9 | 0.8 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 6.3 | 2.3 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.9 / 0.5 | 4.8 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Magallanes 2–0–3 Palestino
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06/26 Chile Cup | Palestino | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Magallanes |
| 03/09/23 Chile Liga de Primera | Magallanes | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Palestino |
| 01/04/23 Chile Liga de Primera | Palestino | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Magallanes |
| 15/10/14 Chile Cup | Palestino | 4-1 HT 2-1 | Magallanes |
| 08/10/14 Chile Cup | Magallanes | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Palestino |
Standings · Chile Cup · Copa Chile 2026, Group G
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 2 | Audax Italiano | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
| 3 | Palestino | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 4 |
| 4 | Magallanes | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Magallanes
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Audax Italiano Chile Cup |
0-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 20/06 | Palestino Chile Cup |
0-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 07/06 | CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 31/05 | Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 4-3 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 25/05 | San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 16/05 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 09/05 | Puerto Montt Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 10 | L |
| 03/05 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 2-3 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 25/04 | Union San Felipe Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 18/04 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 2-3 | 16 | 8 | L |
Palestino
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Audax Italiano Chile Cup |
1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 27/06 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 24/06 | Audax Italiano Chile Cup |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 9 | L |
| 20/06 | Magallanes Chile Cup |
2-0 | 4-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | Everton de Vina Chile Liga de Primera |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 08/06 | O'Higgins Chile Copa de la Liga |
0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 01/06 | Audax Italiano Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 27/05 | Deportivo Riestra Copa Sudamericana |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 24/05 | Union La Calera Chile Liga de Primera |
2-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 21/05 | Gremio Copa Sudamericana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 10 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Magallanes vs Palestino?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Palestino win (55%). Probabilities: Magallanes 21%, draw 25%, Palestino 55%.
How many goals are expected in Magallanes vs Palestino?
The model expects 3.11 goals (Magallanes 1.15 · Palestino 1.96), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Magallanes vs Palestino?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.