Football · Chile Cup · 05/07, 00:00

Prediction: Deportes Iquique vs Coquimbo Unido

Expected goals: 2.98 (Deportes Iquique 1.19 · Coquimbo Unido 1.79). The model gives 24% home, 26% draw, 50% away. Under 3 goals (52%) and both teams to score (55%). Most likely score: 1-1.

Over its last 10 matches, Deportes Iquique sits at 2-4-4 (W-D-L), while Coquimbo Unido arrives on a 5-4-1 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 1 wins for Deportes Iquique and 5 for Coquimbo Unido.

50%2
24% 26% 50%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Deportes Iquique 1476 · Coquimbo Unido 1566
Deportes IquiqueDrawCoquimbo Unido
Our model24%25%51%
Market23%27%50%
Estimated total (ours) 2.98 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals2.98Deportes Iquique 1.19 · Coquimbo Unido 1.79
Over / Under 3Under 3 · 52%
BTTSYes · 55%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Coquimbo Unido (rating 1476 vs 1566).
  • H2H favours Coquimbo Unido: 5-0-1.
  • High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Deportes IquiqueCoquimbo Unido
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 1.81.5 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.70.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/40/30%40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.8 / 5.93.3 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4 / 0.14.3 / 0.5

Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportes Iquique 105 Coquimbo Unido

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DateHomeScoreAway
20/06/26
Chile Cup
Coquimbo Unido3-0
HT 1-0
Deportes Iquique
19/07/25
Chile Liga de Primera
Coquimbo Unido4-1
HT 1-1
Deportes Iquique
15/02/25
Chile Liga de Primera
Deportes Iquique0-3
HT 0-1
Coquimbo Unido
08/09/24
Chile Cup
Coquimbo Unido1-0
HT 1-0
Deportes Iquique
05/09/24
Chile Cup
Deportes Iquique1-2
HT 0-2
Coquimbo Unido
11/08/24
Chile Liga de Primera
Coquimbo Unido1-2
HT 0-1
Deportes Iquique

Standings · Chile Cup · Copa Chile 2026, Group A

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Coquimbo Unido 4220 628
2 Deportes Iquique 4211 847
3 Deportes Limache 4121 675
4 San Marcos De Arica 4013 181

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Deportes Iquique

LWDDLDLDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 Deportes Limache
Chile Cup
2-0 4-1 52 W
20/06 Coquimbo Unido
Chile Cup
0-1 0-3 42 L
07/06 Deportes Recoleta
Chile Primera B
1-0 1-1 65 D
31/05 Magallanes
Chile Primera B
0-2 3-4 64 L
23/05 Curico Unido
Chile Primera B
0-0 1-1 122 D
19/05 Union Espanola
Chile Primera B
1-0 1-2 66 L
09/05 Rangers de Talca
Chile Primera B
0-0 1-1 44 D
02/05 Club Deportes Santa Cruz
Chile Primera B
1-2 2-2 34 D
28/04 Santiago Wanderers
Chile Primera B
1-1 2-1 78 W
20/04 San Luis Quillota
Chile Primera B
1-1 1-2 64 L

Coquimbo Unido

WDLWWDWDWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
02/07 Deportes Limache
Chile Cup
1-0 1-1 57 D
27/06 San Marcos De Arica
Chile Cup
0-0 1-0 63 W
23/06 Deportes Limache
Chile Cup
0-1 1-1 122 D
20/06 Deportes Iquique
Chile Cup
1-0 3-0 42 W
13/06 O'Higgins
Chile Liga de Primera
0-0 0-0 75 D
06/06 Deportes Concepcion
Chile Copa de la Liga
1-0 2-1 35 W
31/05 Deportes Limache
Chile Liga de Primera
1-1 3-2 56 W
27/05 Nacional De Football
Copa Libertadores
0-1 0-1 86 L
22/05 Everton de Vina
Chile Liga de Primera
0-0 1-1 78 D
20/05 Deportes Tolima
Copa Libertadores
2-0 3-0 34 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportes Iquique vs Coquimbo Unido?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Coquimbo Unido win (50%). Probabilities: Deportes Iquique 24%, draw 26%, Coquimbo Unido 50%.

How many goals are expected in Deportes Iquique vs Coquimbo Unido?

The model expects 2.98 goals (Deportes Iquique 1.19 · Coquimbo Unido 1.79), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Deportes Iquique vs Coquimbo Unido?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.