Prediction: Universidad Catolica vs Deportes Copiapo
Expected goals: 3.43 (Universidad Catolica 2.51 · Deportes Copiapo 0.91). The model gives 72% home, 17% draw, 11% away. Over 3 goals (55%) and both teams to score (54%). Most likely score: 2-0.
On recent form, Universidad Catolica is 9-0-1 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Deportes Copiapo 4-1-5 over its own. In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Universidad Catolica won 4 and Deportes Copiapo 0, with 1 draw.
| Universidad Catolica | Draw | Deportes Copiapo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 71% | 18% | 11% |
| Market | 72% | 17% | 11% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Universidad Catolica (rating 1621 vs 1481).
- H2H favours Universidad Catolica: 4-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Universidad Catolica | Deportes Copiapo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.9 / 0.8 | 1.1 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 5.5 | 2.1 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.5 | 4.5 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Universidad Catolica 4–1–0 Deportes Copiapo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06/26 Chile Cup | Deportes Copiapo | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Universidad Catolica |
| 26/09/24 Chile Liga de Primera | Universidad Catolica | 4-1 HT 1-1 | Deportes Copiapo |
| 27/04/24 Chile Liga de Primera | Deportes Copiapo | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Universidad Catolica |
| 02/12/23 Chile Liga de Primera | Universidad Catolica | 2-2 HT 2-2 | Deportes Copiapo |
| 14/05/23 Chile Liga de Primera | Deportes Copiapo | 1-4 HT 0-2 | Universidad Catolica |
Standings · Chile Cup · Copa Chile 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Universidad Catolica | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | Everton de Vina | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 4 |
| 3 | Deportes Copiapo | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 4 |
| 4 | San Luis Quillota | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 2 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Universidad Catolica
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Everton de Vina Chile Cup |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 28/06 | San Luis Quillota Chile Cup |
2-1 | 4-2 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 24/06 | Everton de Vina Chile Cup |
3-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 20/06 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Cup |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 14/06 | Universidad de Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera |
2-1 | 5-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 07/06 | Cobresal Chile Copa de la Liga |
1-1 | 5-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 31/05 | Huachipato Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 29/05 | Boca Juniors Copa Libertadores |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 25/05 | Colo Colo Chile Liga de Primera |
1-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 22/05 | Barcelona Guayaquil Copa Libertadores |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
Deportes Copiapo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Everton de Vina Chile Cup |
0-0 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 20/06 | Universidad Catolica Chile Cup |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 06/06 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 10 | W |
| 02/06 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 26/05 | Union Espanola Chile Primera B |
3-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Union San Felipe Chile Primera B |
2-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | Magallanes Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 25/04 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 19/04 | CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Universidad Catolica vs Deportes Copiapo?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Universidad Catolica win (72%). Probabilities: Universidad Catolica 72%, draw 17%, Deportes Copiapo 11%.
How many goals are expected in Universidad Catolica vs Deportes Copiapo?
The model expects 3.43 goals (Universidad Catolica 2.51 · Deportes Copiapo 0.91), with a 55% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Universidad Catolica vs Deportes Copiapo?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.