Prediction: Santiago Wanderers vs Universidad de Chile
Expected goals: 3.35 (Santiago Wanderers 1.33 · Universidad de Chile 2.03). The model gives 23% home, 25% draw, 52% away. Over 2.75 goals (56%) and both teams to score (58%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves Santiago Wanderers with 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses over 10 games; Universidad de Chile has piled up 4-3-3 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 2 wins for Santiago Wanderers and 4 for Universidad de Chile.
| Santiago Wanderers | Draw | Universidad de Chile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 24% | 23% | 53% |
| Market | 22% | 26% | 51% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Universidad de Chile: 4-0-2.
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 11.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Santiago Wanderers | Universidad de Chile | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.8 | 1.7 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.9 | 0.9 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.9 | 3.1 / 6.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.1 / 0.4 | 5.1 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Santiago Wanderers 2–0–4 Universidad de Chile
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06/26 Chile Cup | Universidad de Chile | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Santiago Wanderers |
| 29/09/21 Chile Liga de Primera | Santiago Wanderers | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Universidad de Chile |
| 04/05/21 Chile Liga de Primera | Universidad de Chile | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Santiago Wanderers |
| 15/11/20 Chile Liga de Primera | Universidad de Chile | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Santiago Wanderers |
| 15/02/20 Chile Liga de Primera | Santiago Wanderers | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Universidad de Chile |
| 11/11/17 Chile Cup | Universidad de Chile | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Santiago Wanderers |
Standings · Chile Cup · Copa Chile 2026, Group D
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Universidad de Chile | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 7 |
| 2 | Union La Calera | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 7 |
| 3 | Union San Felipe | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
| 4 | Santiago Wanderers | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 3 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Santiago Wanderers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Union La Calera Chile Cup |
0-1 | 0-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 21/06 | Universidad de Chile Chile Cup |
0-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 06/06 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 10 | L |
| 30/05 | Union Espanola Chile Primera B |
1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 23/05 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 16/05 | Curico Unido Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 10/05 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 5-1 | 7 | 10 | W |
| 03/05 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
2-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 28/04 | Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 18/04 | Magallanes Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 8 | W |
Universidad de Chile
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Union La Calera Chile Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 7 | L |
| 28/06 | Union San Felipe Chile Cup |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 25/06 | Union La Calera Chile Cup |
1-2 | 3-3 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 21/06 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Cup |
2-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 19/06 | O'Higgins Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 14/06 | Union La Calera Chile Liga de Primera |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 07/06 | Audax Italiano Chile Copa de la Liga |
1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 30/05 | Deportes Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 10 | W |
| 17/05 | Cobresal Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Union La Calera Chile Copa de la Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Santiago Wanderers vs Universidad de Chile?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Universidad de Chile win (52%). Probabilities: Santiago Wanderers 23%, draw 25%, Universidad de Chile 52%.
How many goals are expected in Santiago Wanderers vs Universidad de Chile?
The model expects 3.35 goals (Santiago Wanderers 1.33 · Universidad de Chile 2.03), with a 56% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Santiago Wanderers vs Universidad de Chile?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.