Prediction: Cobresal vs Cobreloa
Expected goals: 2.6 (Cobresal 1.6 · Cobreloa 1.01). The model gives 50% home, 27% draw, 23% away. Under 2.5 goals (52%) and both teams to score (53%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, Cobresal sits at 2-1-7 (W-D-L), while Cobreloa arrives on a 5-2-3 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Cobresal won 1 and Cobreloa 4, with 1 draw.
| Cobresal | Draw | Cobreloa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 27% | 23% |
| Market | 50% | 27% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cobreloa (rating 1431 vs 1518).
- H2H favours Cobreloa: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cobresal | Cobreloa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.5 / 1.6 | 1.9 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.7 | 0.9 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 5.7 | 3 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.2 | 5.8 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cobresal 1–1–4 Cobreloa
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06/26 Chile Cup | Cobreloa | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Cobresal |
| 04/08/24 Chile Liga de Primera | Cobresal | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Cobreloa |
| 02/03/24 Chile Liga de Primera | Cobreloa | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Cobresal |
| 24/08/23 Chile Cup | Cobreloa | 4-2 HT 3-1 | Cobresal |
| 21/08/23 Chile Cup | Cobresal | 1-3 HT 0-0 | Cobreloa |
| 01/12/18 Chile Primera B | Cobreloa | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Cobresal |
Standings · Chile Cup · Copa Chile 2026, Group C
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Antofagasta | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| 2 | La Serena | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 7 |
| 3 | Cobreloa | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 4 | Cobresal | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 1 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cobresal | Cobreloa |
|---|---|---|
| La Serena | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| CD Antofagasta | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Cobreloa (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cobresal
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | La Serena Chile Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 28/06 | CD Antofagasta Chile Cup |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 24/06 | La Serena Chile Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 20/06 | Cobreloa Chile Cup |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 13/06 | Colo Colo Chile Liga de Primera |
0-3 | 0-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 07/06 | Universidad Catolica Chile Copa de la Liga |
1-1 | 1-5 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 30/05 | Nublense Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 23/05 | Audax Italiano Chile Liga de Primera |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 17/05 | Universidad de Chile Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Universidad de Concepcion Chile Copa de la Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
Cobreloa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | La Serena Chile Cup |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 20/06 | Cobresal Chile Cup |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 06/06 | Puerto Montt Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 31/05 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 21/05 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 7 | D |
| 16/05 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 4-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 1-5 | 2 | 10 | L |
| 03/05 | CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 26/04 | San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B |
2-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 18/04 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cobresal vs Cobreloa?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Cobresal win (50%). Probabilities: Cobresal 50%, draw 27%, Cobreloa 23%.
How many goals are expected in Cobresal vs Cobreloa?
The model expects 2.6 goals (Cobresal 1.6 · Cobreloa 1.01), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Cobresal vs Cobreloa?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.