Prediction: Puerto Montt vs Huachipato
Expected goals: 2.79 (Puerto Montt 1.25 · Huachipato 1.54). The model gives 30% home, 28% draw, 43% away. Under 2.75 goals (51%) and both teams to score (55%). Most likely score: 1-1.
On recent form, Puerto Montt is 5-1-4 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Huachipato 3-2-5 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 2 wins for Puerto Montt and 3 for Huachipato, with 1 draw.
| Puerto Montt | Draw | Huachipato | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 27% | 43% |
| Market | 30% | 28% | 43% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Puerto Montt (rating 1512 vs 1460).
- H2H favours Huachipato: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Puerto Montt | Huachipato | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1 | 1.3 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.3 | 3 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.8 | 4.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Puerto Montt 2–1–3 Huachipato
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06/26 Chile Cup | Huachipato | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Puerto Montt |
| 16/10/24 Chile Cup | Huachipato | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Puerto Montt |
| 09/10/24 Chile Cup | Puerto Montt | 5-1 HT 3-1 | Huachipato |
| 26/06/22 Chile Cup | Huachipato | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Puerto Montt |
| 19/06/22 Chile Cup | Puerto Montt | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Huachipato |
| 06/09/15 Chile Cup | Huachipato | 5-3 HT 1-1 | Puerto Montt |
Standings · Chile Cup · Copa Chile 2026, Group H
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Puerto Montt | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Deportes Concepcion | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 7 |
| 3 | Deportes Temuco | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| 4 | Huachipato | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 3 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Puerto Montt | Huachipato |
|---|---|---|
| Deportes Concepcion | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Deportes Temuco | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Puerto Montt
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Deportes Concepcion Chile Cup |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 21/06 | Huachipato Chile Cup |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 06/06 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 30/05 | Union San Felipe Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 24/05 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B |
1-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 09/05 | Magallanes Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 10 | W |
| 03/05 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 26/04 | Curico Unido Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 21/04 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
Huachipato
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Deportes Concepcion Chile Cup |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 28/06 | Deportes Temuco Chile Cup |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 25/06 | Deportes Concepcion Chile Cup |
0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 21/06 | Puerto Montt Chile Cup |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 14/06 | Nublense Chile Liga de Primera |
2-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 07/06 | Colo Colo Chile Copa de la Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 31/05 | Universidad Catolica Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 0-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | Deportes Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 17/05 | Union La Calera Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 10/05 | Coquimbo Unido Chile Copa de la Liga |
1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Puerto Montt vs Huachipato?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Huachipato win (43%). Probabilities: Puerto Montt 30%, draw 28%, Huachipato 43%.
How many goals are expected in Puerto Montt vs Huachipato?
The model expects 2.79 goals (Puerto Montt 1.25 · Huachipato 1.54), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Puerto Montt vs Huachipato?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.