Prediction: La Serena vs CD Antofagasta
Expected goals: 3.04 (La Serena 1.86 · CD Antofagasta 1.18). The model gives 52% home, 26% draw, 22% away. Over 3 goals (50%) and both teams to score (56%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves La Serena with 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses over 10 games; CD Antofagasta has piled up 5-3-2 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, La Serena won 3 and CD Antofagasta 2, with 1 draw.
| La Serena | Draw | CD Antofagasta | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 25% | 23% |
| Market | 52% | 27% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD Antofagasta (rating 1446 vs 1533).
- H2H favours La Serena: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| La Serena | CD Antofagasta | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 2.6 | 1.3 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1.3 | 0.6 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.4 | 2.9 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.3 | 5.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · La Serena 3–1–2 CD Antofagasta
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06/26 Chile Cup | CD Antofagasta | 4-2 HT 2-1 | La Serena |
| 14/07/24 Chile Primera B | La Serena | 2-1 HT 1-0 | CD Antofagasta |
| 24/02/24 Chile Primera B | CD Antofagasta | 0-1 HT 0-1 | La Serena |
| 15/10/23 Chile Primera B | CD Antofagasta | 0-1 HT 0-1 | La Serena |
| 04/06/23 Chile Primera B | La Serena | 1-1 HT 1-0 | CD Antofagasta |
| 17/07/22 Chile Liga de Primera | La Serena | 0-1 HT 0-0 | CD Antofagasta |
Standings · Chile Cup · Copa Chile 2026, Group C
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Antofagasta | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| 2 | La Serena | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 7 |
| 3 | Cobreloa | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 4 | Cobresal | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 1 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | La Serena | CD Antofagasta |
|---|---|---|
| Cobresal | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Cobreloa | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: La Serena (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
La Serena
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Cobresal Chile Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 28/06 | Cobreloa Chile Cup |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 24/06 | Cobresal Chile Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 21/06 | CD Antofagasta Chile Cup |
1-2 | 2-4 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 13/06 | Audax Italiano Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 07/06 | Union La Calera Chile Copa de la Liga |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 30/05 | Colo Colo Chile Liga de Primera |
1-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | Palestino Chile Liga de Primera |
0-3 | 1-5 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 09/05 | Audax Italiano Chile Copa de la Liga |
2-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 02/05 | Universidad de Chile Chile Copa de la Liga |
0-3 | 0-5 | 7 | 7 | L |
CD Antofagasta
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Cobresal Chile Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 21/06 | La Serena Chile Cup |
2-1 | 4-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 07/06 | Magallanes Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 02/06 | Curico Unido Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 24/05 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 17/05 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 10/05 | San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 26/04 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 19/04 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in La Serena vs CD Antofagasta?
According to our model, the most likely result is a La Serena win (52%). Probabilities: La Serena 52%, draw 26%, CD Antofagasta 22%.
How many goals are expected in La Serena vs CD Antofagasta?
The model expects 3.04 goals (La Serena 1.86 · CD Antofagasta 1.18), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in La Serena vs CD Antofagasta?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.