Prediction: Universidad de Concepcion vs Rangers de Talca
Expected goals: 2.72 (Universidad de Concepcion 1.74 · Rangers de Talca 0.98). The model gives 54% home, 26% draw, 20% away. Under 3 goals (57%) and both teams to score (53%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, Universidad de Concepcion sits at 1-3-6 (W-D-L), while Rangers de Talca arrives on a 1-2-7 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 4 wins for Universidad de Concepcion and 1 for Rangers de Talca, with 1 draw.
| Universidad de Concepcion | Draw | Rangers de Talca | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 26% | 20% |
| Market | 54% | 26% | 20% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Universidad de Concepcion (rating 1460 vs 1416).
- H2H favours Universidad de Concepcion: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Universidad de Concepcion | Rangers de Talca | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 2 | 0.6 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.9 | 0.1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 0/60/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3.5 | 2.1 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.2 | 4.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Universidad de Concepcion 4–1–1 Rangers de Talca
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06/26 Chile Cup | Rangers de Talca | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Universidad de Concepcion |
| 06/09/25 Chile Primera B | Rangers de Talca | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Universidad de Concepcion |
| 02/05/25 Chile Primera B | Universidad de Concepcion | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Rangers de Talca |
| 05/10/24 Chile Primera B | Universidad de Concepcion | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Rangers de Talca |
| 20/05/24 Chile Primera B | Rangers de Talca | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Universidad de Concepcion |
| 19/07/23 Chile Cup | Universidad de Concepcion | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Rangers de Talca |
Standings · Chile Cup · Copa Chile 2026, Group F
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nublense | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | Curico Unido | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | Rangers de Talca | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
| 4 | Universidad de Concepcion | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 1 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Universidad de Concepcion
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Nublense Chile Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 28/06 | Curico Unido Chile Cup |
2-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 26/06 | Nublense Chile Cup |
1-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 21/06 | Rangers de Talca Chile Cup |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 14/06 | Universidad Catolica Chile Liga de Primera |
1-2 | 1-5 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 07/06 | Nublense Chile Copa de la Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 30/05 | Union La Calera Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 23/05 | Nublense Chile Liga de Primera |
0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 16/05 | O'Higgins Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 09/05 | Cobresal Chile Copa de la Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
Rangers de Talca
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Nublense Chile Cup |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 21/06 | Universidad de Concepcion Chile Cup |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 07/06 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 31/05 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 23/05 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 16/05 | Union San Felipe Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 03/05 | Puerto Montt Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 26/04 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 18/04 | Union Espanola Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Universidad de Concepcion vs Rangers de Talca?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Universidad de Concepcion win (54%). Probabilities: Universidad de Concepcion 54%, draw 26%, Rangers de Talca 20%.
How many goals are expected in Universidad de Concepcion vs Rangers de Talca?
The model expects 2.72 goals (Universidad de Concepcion 1.74 · Rangers de Talca 0.98), with a 57% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Universidad de Concepcion vs Rangers de Talca?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.