Prediction: Nublense vs Curico Unido
Expected goals: 2.68 (Nublense 1.69 · Curico Unido 0.99). The model gives 53% home, 27% draw, 21% away. Over 2.25 goals (55%) and both teams to score (53%). Most likely score: 1-1.
On recent form, Nublense is 5-3-2 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Curico Unido 4-4-2 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Nublense won 3 and Curico Unido 3.
| Nublense | Draw | Curico Unido | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 26% | 21% |
| Market | 53% | 27% | 20% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Nublense | Curico Unido | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.5 | 1.2 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5 | 2.3 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.3 | 5.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nublense 3–0–3 Curico Unido
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06/26 Chile Cup | Curico Unido | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Nublense |
| 10/05/25 Chile Cup | Curico Unido | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Nublense |
| 26/01/25 Chile Cup | Nublense | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Curico Unido |
| 23/09/23 Chile Liga de Primera | Curico Unido | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Nublense |
| 17/03/23 Chile Liga de Primera | Nublense | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Curico Unido |
| 31/10/22 Chile Liga de Primera | Curico Unido | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Nublense |
Standings · Chile Cup · Copa Chile 2026, Group F
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nublense | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | Curico Unido | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | Rangers de Talca | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
| 4 | Universidad de Concepcion | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 1 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nublense
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Universidad de Concepcion Chile Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 28/06 | Rangers de Talca Chile Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 26/06 | Universidad de Concepcion Chile Cup |
1-1 | 4-2 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 21/06 | Curico Unido Chile Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 14/06 | Huachipato Chile Liga de Primera |
1-2 | 2-2 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 07/06 | Universidad de Concepcion Chile Copa de la Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 30/05 | Cobresal Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 23/05 | Universidad de Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera |
2-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | Colo Colo Chile Liga de Primera |
1-2 | 2-6 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | Universidad Catolica Chile Copa de la Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
Curico Unido
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Universidad de Concepcion Chile Cup |
2-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 21/06 | Nublense Chile Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 09/06 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 02/06 | CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 23/05 | Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 16/05 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 12/05 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 01/05 | Union Espanola Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 26/04 | Puerto Montt Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 18/04 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nublense vs Curico Unido?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Nublense win (53%). Probabilities: Nublense 53%, draw 27%, Curico Unido 21%.
How many goals are expected in Nublense vs Curico Unido?
The model expects 2.68 goals (Nublense 1.69 · Curico Unido 0.99), with a 55% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Nublense vs Curico Unido?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.