Prediction: Club Deportes Santa Cruz vs Audax Italiano
Expected goals: 2.57 (Club Deportes Santa Cruz 1.16 · Audax Italiano 1.41). The model gives 30% home, 28% draw, 42% away. Under 2.5 goals (53%) and both teams to score (53%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves Club Deportes Santa Cruz with 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses over 10 games; Audax Italiano has piled up 5-3-2 in the same span. In the last 3 head-to-head meetings the record reads 2 wins for Club Deportes Santa Cruz and 0 for Audax Italiano, with 1 draw.
| Club Deportes Santa Cruz | Draw | Audax Italiano | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 29% | 42% |
| Market | 30% | 28% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Audax Italiano (rating 1480 vs 1541).
- H2H favours Club Deportes Santa Cruz: 2-1-0.
- High corners: 12 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Club Deportes Santa Cruz | Audax Italiano | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.3 | 1.5 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 0.8 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 40/60/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 6.9 | 2.6 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.3 | 4.6 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Club Deportes Santa Cruz 2–1–0 Audax Italiano
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06/26 Chile Cup | Audax Italiano | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz |
| 30/06/24 Chile Cup | Audax Italiano | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz |
| 23/06/24 Chile Cup | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Audax Italiano |
Standings · Chile Cup · Copa Chile 2026, Group G
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 2 | Audax Italiano | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
| 3 | Palestino | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 4 |
| 4 | Magallanes | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Club Deportes Santa Cruz
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Palestino Chile Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 20/06 | Audax Italiano Chile Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 07/06 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 02/06 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 24/05 | CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 19/05 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
2-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 9 | L |
| 02/05 | Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B |
2-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 27/04 | Union Espanola Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 19/04 | Union San Felipe Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
Audax Italiano
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Palestino Chile Cup |
1-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 27/06 | Magallanes Chile Cup |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 24/06 | Palestino Chile Cup |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 9 | W |
| 20/06 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 13/06 | La Serena Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 07/06 | Universidad de Chile Chile Copa de la Liga |
2-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 01/06 | Palestino Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 28/05 | Olimpia Asuncion Copa Sudamericana |
0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 23/05 | Cobresal Chile Liga de Primera |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 20/05 | Barracas Central Copa Sudamericana |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Club Deportes Santa Cruz vs Audax Italiano?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Audax Italiano win (42%). Probabilities: Club Deportes Santa Cruz 30%, draw 28%, Audax Italiano 42%.
How many goals are expected in Club Deportes Santa Cruz vs Audax Italiano?
The model expects 2.57 goals (Club Deportes Santa Cruz 1.16 · Audax Italiano 1.41), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Club Deportes Santa Cruz vs Audax Italiano?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.