Prediction: Union Espanola vs O'Higgins
Expected goals: 2.88 (Union Espanola 1.38 · O'Higgins 1.5). The model gives 34% home, 28% draw, 39% away. Over 2.25 goals (55%) and both teams to score (56%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, Union Espanola sits at 4-4-2 (W-D-L), while O'Higgins arrives on a 3-3-4 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Union Espanola won 0 and O'Higgins 3, with 3 draws.
| Union Espanola | Draw | O'Higgins | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 27% | 39% |
| Market | 33% | 28% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours O'Higgins: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Union Espanola | O'Higgins | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.3 | 1.6 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.8 | 0.7 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.3 | 2.6 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.3 | 4.1 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Union Espanola 0–3–3 O'Higgins
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06/26 Chile Cup | O'Higgins | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Union Espanola |
| 30/11/25 Chile Liga de Primera | Union Espanola | 2-4 HT 1-1 | O'Higgins |
| 15/06/25 Chile Liga de Primera | O'Higgins | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Union Espanola |
| 25/09/24 Chile Liga de Primera | Union Espanola | 0-1 HT 0-0 | O'Higgins |
| 27/04/24 Chile Liga de Primera | O'Higgins | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Union Espanola |
| 13/11/23 Chile Liga de Primera | Union Espanola | 3-3 HT 1-2 | O'Higgins |
Standings · Chile Cup · Copa Chile 2026, Group E
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | O'Higgins | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 5 |
| 3 | Deportes Recoleta | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| 3 | Union Espanola | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Union Espanola
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Colo Colo Chile Cup |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 22/06 | O'Higgins Chile Cup |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 09/06 | Union San Felipe Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 30/05 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 26/05 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B |
1-3 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 19/05 | Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 09/05 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 01/05 | Curico Unido Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 27/04 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 18/04 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
O'Higgins
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Colo Colo Chile Cup |
2-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 28/06 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 8 | D |
| 26/06 | Colo Colo Chile Cup |
0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 22/06 | Union Espanola Chile Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 19/06 | Universidad de Chile Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 13/06 | Coquimbo Unido Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 08/06 | Palestino Chile Copa de la Liga |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 31/05 | Everton de Vina Chile Liga de Primera |
1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 27/05 | Millonarios Copa Sudamericana |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 21/05 | Boston River Copa Sudamericana |
0-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Union Espanola vs O'Higgins?
According to our model, the most likely result is an O'Higgins win (39%). Probabilities: Union Espanola 34%, draw 28%, O'Higgins 39%.
How many goals are expected in Union Espanola vs O'Higgins?
The model expects 2.88 goals (Union Espanola 1.38 · O'Higgins 1.5), with a 55% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Union Espanola vs O'Higgins?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.