Prediction: Deportes Limache vs San Marcos De Arica
Expected goals: 2.97 (Deportes Limache 2.1 · San Marcos De Arica 0.87). The model gives 65% home, 20% draw, 14% away. Under 3.25 goals (57%) and both teams to score (53%). Most likely score: 2-0.
On recent form, Deportes Limache is 1-3-6 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and San Marcos De Arica 4-2-4 over its own. In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Deportes Limache won 3 and San Marcos De Arica 1.
| Deportes Limache | Draw | San Marcos De Arica | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 22% | 14% |
| Market | 66% | 19% | 15% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours San Marcos De Arica (rating 1441 vs 1484).
- H2H favours Deportes Limache: 3-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportes Limache | San Marcos De Arica | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 2 | 1.2 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.9 | 0.4 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.2 | 2.2 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.5 | 4.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportes Limache 3–0–1 San Marcos De Arica
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06/26 Chile Cup | San Marcos De Arica | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Deportes Limache |
| 05/10/24 Chile Primera B | San Marcos De Arica | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Deportes Limache |
| 21/05/24 Chile Primera B | Deportes Limache | 1-3 HT 0-2 | San Marcos De Arica |
| 25/09/22 Chile Segunda | Deportes Limache | 1-0 HT 0-0 | San Marcos De Arica |
Standings · Chile Cup · Copa Chile 2026, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coquimbo Unido | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | Deportes Iquique | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 8 |
| 3 | Deportes Limache | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 5 |
| 4 | San Marcos De Arica | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 1 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportes Limache
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Coquimbo Unido Chile Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 27/06 | Deportes Iquique Chile Cup |
0-2 | 1-4 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 23/06 | Coquimbo Unido Chile Cup |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 20/06 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Cup |
1-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 14/06 | Deportes Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 08/06 | Everton de Vina Chile Copa de la Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 31/05 | Coquimbo Unido Chile Liga de Primera |
1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 17/05 | Universidad Catolica Chile Liga de Primera |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 12/05 | Palestino Chile Copa de la Liga |
2-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 04/05 | O'Higgins Chile Copa de la Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
San Marcos De Arica
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Coquimbo Unido Chile Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 20/06 | Deportes Limache Chile Cup |
1-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 06/06 | San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 31/05 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 24/05 | Puerto Montt Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 12/05 | Curico Unido Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 05/05 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 18/04 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportes Limache vs San Marcos De Arica?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportes Limache win (65%). Probabilities: Deportes Limache 65%, draw 20%, San Marcos De Arica 14%.
How many goals are expected in Deportes Limache vs San Marcos De Arica?
The model expects 2.97 goals (Deportes Limache 2.1 · San Marcos De Arica 0.87), with a 57% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportes Limache vs San Marcos De Arica?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.